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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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São Bernardo v Operario PR

开赛时间： 2026-04-02 22:02 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

São Bernardo (主队)

预测 36.70%2.73公平赔率
EV -3.12%
优势 -1.18%
Kelly -1.90%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.64

博彩公司预测分布
35.00%36.72%36.72%40.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.452.502.6444.44%40.75%40.08%37.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Operario PR (客队)

预测 32.37%3.09公平赔率
EV +6.81%
优势 +2.06%
Kelly +2.96%
增长率 +0.202%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.45%32.42%32.27%33.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.982.883.3037.04%33.52%34.72%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.94%3.23公平赔率
EV -3.17%
优势 -1.01%
Kelly -1.49%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.13

博彩公司预测分布
30.04%30.85%31.02%32.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.962.983.1337.04%33.82%33.56%31.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：São Bernardo (主队)：36.70%；Operario PR (客队)：32.37%；平局：30.94%。 对于“Operario PR (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.09。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.30，对应+6.81%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 22:00
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 22:00
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -15.60%E -6.78%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV +3.57%E +1.12%K +1.62%G +0.058%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -15.60%E -6.78%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV +3.57%E +1.12%K +1.62%G +0.058%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 22:00
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -16.33%E -7.16%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV +3.57%E +1.12%K +1.62%G +0.058%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -10.90%E -3.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-02 22:00
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -17.43%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV +1.96%E +0.621%K +0.909%G +0.018%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -17.43%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV +1.96%E +0.621%K +0.909%G +0.018%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 21:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -17.43%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV +1.96%E +0.621%K +0.909%G +0.018%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 21:58
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.61%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -2.90%E -0.967%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.18%EV -4.09%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.61%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -2.90%E -0.967%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.18%EV -4.09%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 21:59
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.61%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.76%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 21:59
BetUS🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.61%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.76%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 21:59
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -6.14%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -8.73%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.50%EV -6.79%E -2.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -6.78%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -8.43%E -2.85%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 21:59
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -7.53%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -6.78%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 21:59
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -7.53%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -6.78%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.78%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 22:00
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.10%EV -7.11%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 22:00
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.86%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.73%EV -7.43%E -2.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 21:59
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 22:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.80%EV -8.63%E -3.46%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.15%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.73%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-02 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 21:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 21:58
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 21:59
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 22:01
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 21:59
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 21:58
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -10.90%E -3.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 22:00
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -10.99%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.09%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 21:59
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -12.61%E -4.67%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-02 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.00%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.00%EV -12.61%E -4.67%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.00%EV -16.47%E -6.10%K -9.69%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-02 21:59
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-04-02 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-04-02 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-04-02 22:00
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33%1.3%2026-04-02 22:00
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 37.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%3.8%2026-04-02 22:00