La escuela de los momiosEspañol
São Bernardo v Operario PR
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
São Bernardo (Local)
Predicción 36.70%2.73momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -1.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.00%36.72%36.72%40.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.452.502.6444.44%40.75%40.08%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Operario PR (Visitante)
Predicción 32.37%3.09momio equitativo
EV +6.81%
Ventaja +2.06%
Kelly +2.96%
Crecimiento +0.202%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.45%32.42%32.27%33.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.982.883.3037.04%33.52%34.72%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.94%3.23momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.04%30.85%31.02%32.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.962.983.1337.04%33.82%33.56%31.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -15.60%E -6.78%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV +3.57%E +1.12%K +1.62%G +0.058% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -15.60%E -6.78%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV +3.57%E +1.12%K +1.62%G +0.058% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -16.33%E -7.16%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV +3.57%E +1.12%K +1.62%G +0.058% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -10.90%E -3.78%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -17.43%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV +1.96%E +0.621%K +0.909%G +0.018% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -17.43%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV +1.96%E +0.621%K +0.909%G +0.018% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 21:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -17.43%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV +1.96%E +0.621%K +0.909%G +0.018% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 21:58 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.61%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -2.90%E -0.967%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.18%EV -4.09%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.61%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -2.90%E -0.967%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.18%EV -4.09%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-02 21:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.61%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.76%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 21:59 |
| BetUS | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.61%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.76%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 21:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -6.14%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -8.73%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.50%EV -6.79%E -2.67%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -6.78%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -8.43%E -2.85%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 21:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -7.53%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -6.78%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 21:59 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -7.53%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -6.78%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.78%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.10%EV -7.11%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.86%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.73%EV -7.43%E -2.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 21:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.80%EV -8.63%E -3.46%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.15%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -8.73%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-02 21:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-02 21:58 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 21:59 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 22:01 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 21:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 21:58 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -10.90%E -3.78%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -10.99%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.09%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 21:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -12.61%E -4.67%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.00%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.00%EV -12.61%E -4.67%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.00%EV -16.47%E -6.10%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-02 21:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08% | 3.8% | 2026-04-02 22:00 |