La scuola delle quote

São Bernardo v Juventude

Inizio: 2026-06-21 20:00 UTC

Finale: São Bernardo 0–1 Juventude

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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40 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

São Bernardo (Casa)

Previsione 34.30%2.92quota equa
EV -2.58%
Vantaggio -0.910%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.02%34.48%34.43%36.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.432.642.632.8441.15%37.89%37.95%35.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Juventude (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.46%2.99quota equa
EV -2.31%
Vantaggio -0.790%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.61%33.28%33.29%34.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.772.802.9238.17%36.10%35.71%34.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.24%3.10quota equa
EV -3.27%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.07%32.24%32.28%34.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.862.863.0040.00%34.93%34.97%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 33.92%EV -2.58%E -0.910%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -2.31%E -0.790%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -6.18%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 19:40
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -3.27%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.94%EV -7.79%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 19:29
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -3.27%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.94%EV -7.79%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 19:30
BetUS2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -3.27%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.94%EV -7.79%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 19:29
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 19:20
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -11.34%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 19:19
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -11.34%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 19:20
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -11.34%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -11.34%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 19:20
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 19:29
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -6.70%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -9.00%E -3.31%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 19:40
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -6.70%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -9.00%E -3.31%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 19:40
Bovada2.71I 36.90%NM 34.06%EV -7.04%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 19:48
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 19:20
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.38%EV -7.47%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 19:40
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 19:39
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-21 19:39
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 19:20
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-21 19:40
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.10%E -3.43%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-21 19:29
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -10.13%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-21 19:39
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.13%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-21 19:29
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 19:30
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 19:29
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 19:29
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 19:30
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 19:30
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 19:29
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 19:29
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-21 19:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -12.01%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -19.40%E -7.76%K -12.93%G +0.000%16.5%2026-06-21 19:40
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -14.25%E -5.70%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-21 19:29
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -14.25%E -5.70%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-21 19:20
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 36.19%EV -14.93%E -6.02%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-21 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.86%EV -14.93%E -6.02%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-21 19:29
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -15.96%E -6.51%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-21 19:40
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -15.96%E -6.51%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-21 19:30
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.13%EV -16.65%E -6.85%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.52%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-21 19:29
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.13%EV -16.65%E -6.85%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.52%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-21 19:30
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 36.13%EV -16.65%E -6.85%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.52%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-21 19:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-06-21 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-06-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-21 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-21 19:40
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.17%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.02%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%1.6%2026-06-21 19:50