L’École des cotes

São Bernardo v Juventude

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-21 20:00 UTC

Score final : São Bernardo 0–1 Juventude

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

São Bernardo (Local)

Prévision 34.30%2.92cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -0.910%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.02%34.48%34.43%36.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.432.642.632.8441.15%37.89%37.95%35.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Juventude (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.46%2.99cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.790%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.61%33.28%33.29%34.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.772.802.9238.17%36.10%35.71%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.24%3.10cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.07%32.24%32.28%34.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.862.863.0040.00%34.93%34.97%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 33.92%EV -2.58%E -0.910%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -2.31%E -0.790%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -6.18%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 19:40
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -3.27%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.94%EV -7.79%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 19:29
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -3.27%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.94%EV -7.79%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 19:30
BetUS2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -3.27%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.94%EV -7.79%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 19:29
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 19:20
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -11.34%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 19:19
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -11.34%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 19:20
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -11.34%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -11.34%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 19:20
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -6.01%E -2.19%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 19:29
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -6.70%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -9.00%E -3.31%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 19:40
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -6.70%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -9.00%E -3.31%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 19:40
Bovada2.71I 36.90%NM 34.06%EV -7.04%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 19:48
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.89%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 19:20
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.38%EV -7.47%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 19:40
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 19:39
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-21 19:39
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 19:20
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-21 19:40
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.10%E -3.43%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-21 19:29
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -10.13%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-21 19:39
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.13%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-21 19:29
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 19:30
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 19:29
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 19:29
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 19:30
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 19:30
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 19:29
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 19:29
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-21 19:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -12.01%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -19.40%E -7.76%K -12.93%G +0.000%16.5%2026-06-21 19:40
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -14.25%E -5.70%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-21 19:29
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -14.25%E -5.70%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-21 19:20
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 36.19%EV -14.93%E -6.02%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-21 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.86%EV -14.93%E -6.02%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-21 19:29
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -15.96%E -6.51%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-21 19:40
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -15.96%E -6.51%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-21 19:30
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.13%EV -16.65%E -6.85%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.52%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-21 19:29
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.13%EV -16.65%E -6.85%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.52%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-21 19:30
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 36.13%EV -16.65%E -6.85%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.52%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-21 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-06-21 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-06-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-21 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-06-21 19:40
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.17%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.02%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%1.6%2026-06-21 19:50