The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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São Bernardo v Goiás

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

São Bernardo (Local)

Prediction 36.78%2.72fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.38%36.77%36.79%37.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.492.502.5941.67%40.21%40.00%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Goiás (Visit)

Prediction 32.38%3.09fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.953%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.25%32.38%32.32%34.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.882.893.0038.02%34.76%34.60%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.84%3.24fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.65%30.85%30.89%32.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.963.003.1035.71%33.83%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: São Bernardo (Local): 36.78%; Goiás (Visit): 32.38%; Draw: 30.84%. For Goiás (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -2.86%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.34%EV -5.13%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 14:25
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -6.21%E -2.43%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -14.19%E -5.36%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-24 00:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.58%EV -6.58%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.04%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.39%EV -8.72%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.58%EV -6.58%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.04%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.39%EV -8.72%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.63%EV -6.94%E -2.74%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -6.75%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.20%EV -8.41%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 05:57
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.83%EV -7.31%E -2.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.75%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 01:44
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.83%EV -7.31%E -2.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.75%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.86%E -0.953%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.86%E -0.953%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 14:10
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.86%E -0.953%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 14:04
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.86%E -0.953%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 14:05
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.86%E -0.953%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.86%E -0.953%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 14:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.86%E -0.953%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 14:05
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.86%E -0.953%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 14:10
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.75%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 02:34
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 05:58
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.34%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 06:00
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.34%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 19:03
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.34%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 05:58
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.65%E -4.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.65%E -4.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.65%E -4.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 13:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.65%E -4.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 13:24
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -8.78%E -3.54%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -4.48%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.89%E -4.04%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.34%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 02:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.89%E -4.04%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 14:05
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.89%E -4.04%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 14:10
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.89%E -4.04%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.34%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 10:55
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.89%E -4.04%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -9.34%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 19:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 36.84%EV -10.25%E -4.20%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.96%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 01:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.21%EV -10.62%E -4.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.40%EV -6.75%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.40%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 14:10
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.21%EV -10.62%E -4.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.40%EV -6.75%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.40%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.21%EV -10.62%E -4.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.40%EV -6.75%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.40%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.73%E -4.89%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.96%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 06:00
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -11.73%E -4.89%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -10.96%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-20 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -11.73%E -4.89%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -14.84%E -5.64%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -13.65%E -4.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 36.82%2.64I 37.88%NM 32.63%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.55%16.1%2026-04-23 01:45