Language:English
São Bernardo v Clube de Regatas Brasil
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
São Bernardo (Local)
Prediction 31.60%3.16fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -0.870%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.39%31.61%31.58%33.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.872.903.0837.74%34.81%34.48%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit)
Prediction 40.69%2.46fair odd
EV +0.915%
Edge +0.369%
Kelly +0.618%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.51%40.68%40.63%42.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.302.282.4847.62%43.48%43.86%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.71%3.61fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.301%
Kelly -0.417%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.51%27.71%27.79%30.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.283.253.5732.79%30.53%30.77%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: São Bernardo (Local): 31.60%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit): 40.69%; Draw: 27.71%. For Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.915%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -13.11%E -4.77%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV +0.915%E +0.369%K +0.618%G +0.006% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-02 22:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -13.11%E -4.77%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV +0.915%E +0.369%K +0.618%G +0.006% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-02 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -13.11%E -4.77%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV +0.915%E +0.369%K +0.618%G +0.006% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-02 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -13.11%E -4.77%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV +0.915%E +0.369%K +0.618%G +0.006% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-02 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -0.306%E -0.125%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -0.306%E -0.125%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -0.306%E -0.125%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -13.11%E -4.77%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -2.34%E -0.975%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -12.71%E -4.04%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-02 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.39%EV -2.68%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.29%EV -14.37%E -4.65%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -14.69%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-02 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -14.69%E -5.44%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-02 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -16.27%E -6.14%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -3.15%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 22:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -16.27%E -6.14%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -16.27%E -6.14%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.63%EV -4.38%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -15.48%E -5.08%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-02 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.60%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.31%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.63%EV -6.00%E -2.60%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94%EV -1.07%E -0.301%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.37%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.37%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-02 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-02 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-02 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.22%E -3.17%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.22%E -3.17%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 22:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.34%EV -7.63%E -3.36%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-02 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -8.04%E -3.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.01%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 22:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -8.04%E -3.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.01%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 22:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.37%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-02 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.37%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-02 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.37%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-02 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.37%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-02 21:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.37%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-02 22:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-02 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.52%EV -7.73%E -2.65%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -8.85%E -3.95%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.39%EV -6.89%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 21:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -7.42%E -2.53%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -9.26%E -4.15%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-02 22:23 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 22:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-02 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-02 21:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-02 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.31%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-02 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.31%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-02 21:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -13.11%E -4.77%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -12.51%E -5.82%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-02 22:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -14.55%E -6.93%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.71% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35% | 0.2% | 2026-10-02 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-10-02 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-10-02 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-10-02 22:20 |