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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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São Bernardo v Athletic Club (MG)

2026-11-12 23:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

São Bernardo (Casa)

Previsione 48.52%2.06quota equa
EV -4.90%
Vantaggio -2.50%
Kelly -5.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.07%48.46%48.53%49.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.901.911.9656.50%52.64%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Athletic Club (MG) (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.50%4.08quota equa
EV -4.93%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.74%24.53%24.50%25.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.703.753.8828.57%27.03%26.67%25.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.98%3.71quota equa
EV -5.57%
Vantaggio -1.59%
Kelly -2.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.28%27.00%26.96%27.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.363.303.5030.77%29.75%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: São Bernardo (Casa): 48.52%; Athletic Club (MG) (Trasferta): 24.50%; Pareggio: 26.98%. Per São Bernardo (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.06. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 1.96, con un valore atteso del -4.90%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -4.90%E -2.50%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-10 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-10 15:40
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.36%E -3.29%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.28%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-10 08:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -6.36%E -3.29%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-10 12:59
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -6.84%E -3.56%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.89%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-10 12:55
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -6.84%E -3.56%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -6.89%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-10 12:55
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.89%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-10 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -6.89%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-10 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 12:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 12:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 12:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-10 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-10 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-10 15:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.25%E -4.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.25%E -4.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.25%E -4.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 15:54
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.25%E -4.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -7.81%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -5.67%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-10 15:24
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.81%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.31%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.19%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-10 08:40
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.22%EV -7.81%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-10 12:55
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -7.81%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-10 15:25
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -8.30%E -4.39%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.89%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-10 08:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.79%EV -8.30%E -4.39%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-10 12:59
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.89%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-10 15:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-10 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -11.21%E -6.13%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-10 15:40
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -11.21%E -6.13%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.25%E -4.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-10 08:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.63%EV -14.12%E -7.98%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-10 08:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%4.7%2026-11-10 16:40
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 47.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.30%16.3%2026-11-10 13:24

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