Language:English
Operario PR v Goiás
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Operario PR (Local)
Prediction 39.61%2.52fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.64%39.83%39.52%42.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.262.302.4248.54%44.18%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Goiás (Visit)
Prediction 31.13%3.21fair odd
EV +2.74%
Edge +0.830%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.26%30.88%31.20%32.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.003.3035.71%32.99%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.26%3.42fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.29%29.29%29.28%30.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.133.103.3033.33%31.90%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Operario PR (Local): 39.61%; Goiás (Visit): 31.13%; Draw: 29.26%. For Goiás (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -13.65%E -6.26%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV +2.74%E +0.830%K +1.19%G +0.033% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.92%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -13.65%E -6.26%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV +2.74%E +0.830%K +1.19%G +0.033% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.92%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -13.65%E -6.26%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV +2.74%E +0.830%K +1.19%G +0.033% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.92%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -13.65%E -6.26%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV +2.74%E +0.830%K +1.19%G +0.033% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.92%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -13.65%E -6.26%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV +2.74%E +0.830%K +1.19%G +0.033% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.92%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -13.65%E -6.26%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV +2.74%E +0.830%K +1.19%G +0.033% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.92%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -13.65%E -6.26%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV +2.74%E +0.830%K +1.19%G +0.033% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.92%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -4.93%E -2.06%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.08%EV -0.376%E -0.117%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%EV -5.50%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 21:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -14.84%E -6.90%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -0.376%E -0.117%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-11 20:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.97%EV -4.54%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.687%E -0.215%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV -5.50%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 21:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.89%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -1.93%E -0.613%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -16.82%E -8.01%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -1.93%E -0.613%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-11 21:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -16.82%E -8.01%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -1.93%E -0.613%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -16.82%E -8.01%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -1.93%E -0.613%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -10.77%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.89%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-11 21:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -14.84%E -6.90%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-11 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.50%EV -17.61%E -8.47%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.77%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-11 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.53%EV -18.40%E -8.93%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -4.93%E -2.06%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.05%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.85%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.05%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.85%EV -4.14%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.05%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -8.10%E -3.49%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.05%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.34%EV -7.31%E -3.12%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.48%EV -5.98%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -10.77%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 20:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 21:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.89%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.45%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 21:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.89%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 21:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.89%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 21:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.89%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 21:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.89%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.86%E -5.84%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.86%E -5.84%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.91%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -4.92%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 21:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.91%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -4.92%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.91%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.72%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 21:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -7.71%E -3.31%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -9.72%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 21:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.89%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.72%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.89%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.72%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -8.10%E -3.49%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -9.72%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 21:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -8.10%E -3.49%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -9.72%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 21:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.89%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.72%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 21:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.89%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-11 04:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.96%EV -10.87%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.82%EV -8.72%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-11 21:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.96%EV -10.87%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.82%EV -8.72%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-11 21:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.89%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.87%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 04:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.87%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 04:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.87%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 04:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.87%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 04:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -8.89%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-11 20:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.92% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.76% | 1.8% | 2026-10-11 21:25 |