Language:English
Operario PR v Ceará
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Operario PR (Local)
Prediction 46.11%2.17fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.33%46.13%46.31%48.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.032.022.1454.05%49.35%49.50%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ceará (Visit)
Prediction 25.36%3.94fair odd
EV +1.19%
Edge +0.299%
Kelly +0.400%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.11%25.30%25.24%27.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.573.553.9930.77%27.98%28.17%25.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.52%3.51fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.802%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.65%28.57%28.45%29.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.203.4133.33%31.32%31.25%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Operario PR (Local): 46.11%; Ceará (Visit): 25.36%; Draw: 28.52%. For Ceará (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.77%EV -7.31%E -3.64%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.07%EV +1.19%E +0.299%K +0.400%G +0.005% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.16%EV -2.73%E -0.802%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -14.69%E -7.94%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -1.09%E -0.279%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-26 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.62%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.62%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.62%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.45%EV -10.54%E -5.43%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -3.62%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 19:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.62%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.95%EV -8.23%E -4.14%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.65%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.40%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -4.89%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -4.89%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -4.89%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.89%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 19:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -9.16%E -4.65%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.16%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.16%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.43%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -8.69%E -4.39%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -7.43%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-26 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.70%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 19:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.70%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 19:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.70%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.70%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.70%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 19:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.96%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 19:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.96%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.23%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.23%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 19:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.23%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.23%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-26 19:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.23%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-26 19:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -2.24%E -1.06%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -12.50%E -3.62%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -2.24%E -1.06%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -12.50%E -3.62%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -2.24%E -1.06%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -12.50%E -3.62%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -2.24%E -1.06%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -12.50%E -3.62%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -1.32%E -0.615%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -12.50%E -3.62%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -1.32%E -0.615%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -12.50%E -3.62%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -1.32%E -0.615%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -12.50%E -3.62%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 19:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.77%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-26 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.92%E -6.24%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -13.77%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-26 19:07 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -15.04%E -4.49%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.37%EV -4.54%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.20%EV -16.30%E -4.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.37%EV -4.54%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.20%EV -16.30%E -4.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.37%EV -4.54%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.20%EV -16.30%E -4.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -17.57%E -5.41%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -17.57%E -5.41%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -14.43%E -4.81%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-26 19:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31% | 2.4% | 2026-09-26 19:31 |