Language:English
Operario PR v Botafogo-SP
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Operario PR (Local)
Prediction 46.82%2.14fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.83%46.81%46.64%48.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.951.952.0554.05%51.24%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Botafogo-SP (Visit)
Prediction 24.74%4.04fair odd
EV +0.697%
Edge +0.171%
Kelly +0.227%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.23%24.66%24.72%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.723.704.0729.41%26.91%27.03%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.44%3.52fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -0.969%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%28.52%28.64%29.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.203.4032.26%31.00%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Operario PR (Local): 46.82%; Botafogo-SP (Visit): 24.74%; Draw: 28.44%. For Botafogo-SP (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.697%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.04%EV -5.90%E -2.94%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.23%EV +0.697%E +0.171%K +0.227%G +0.002% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.73%EV -9.55%E -3.00%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -6.84%E -3.44%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -2.27%E -0.575%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-04 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -6.84%E -3.44%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -2.27%E -0.575%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-04 10:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -6.84%E -3.44%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -2.27%E -0.575%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-04 10:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.77%E -3.95%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -2.27%E -0.575%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-04 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -9.65%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -9.65%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 04:51 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -9.65%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -9.65%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -9.65%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -9.65%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 04:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -9.65%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.75%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -6.84%E -3.44%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 12:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 09:11 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.74%EV -9.18%E -4.73%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.89%EV -5.57%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 10:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.10%EV -11.52%E -6.09%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -7.56%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 08:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-04 15:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.93%EV -10.11%E -5.27%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.35%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.72%EV -5.57%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -7.30%E -3.69%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -3.29%E -0.969%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 12:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 12:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 12:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-04 12:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -12.45%E -6.66%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -12.45%E -6.66%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -12.45%E -6.66%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.69%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.56%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.75%EV -13.39%E -7.24%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -9.69%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -10.41%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 11:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 11:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.03%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 11:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 12:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -9.65%E -5.00%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-04 09:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.15%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.26%E -3.61%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-04 12:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.15%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.26%E -3.61%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-04 12:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-04 12:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.58%E -5.54%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-04 11:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.14%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-04 14:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -8.24%E -4.20%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -10.41%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-04 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -15.88%E -4.67%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -7.56%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -15.88%E -4.67%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -7.56%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -15.88%E -4.67%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -7.56%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.71%E -4.47%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -15.88%E -4.67%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -7.56%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 14:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |