Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Operario PR v Athletic Club (MG)

2026-10-23 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Operario PR (Local)

Prediction 49.56%2.02fair odd
EV -7.33%
Edge -3.92%
Kelly -8.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.40%49.56%49.56%49.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.841.871.8756.50%54.39%53.48%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletic Club (MG) (Visit)

Prediction 22.96%4.36fair odd
EV -5.86%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%22.96%22.96%23.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.004.104.1026.32%25.02%24.39%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.48%3.64fair odd
EV -6.56%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.40%27.48%27.48%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.333.403.4031.25%30.06%29.41%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Operario PR (Local): 49.56%; Athletic Club (MG) (Visit): 22.96%; Draw: 27.48%. For Athletic Club (MG) (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.10, with an expected value of -5.86%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-16 23:10
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-16 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-16 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-16 23:10
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-16 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-16 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-16 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.56%EV -9.31%E -5.09%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-16 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.48%EV -10.30%E -5.69%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-16 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.48%EV -10.30%E -5.69%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-16 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.47%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-16 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.40%EV -11.29%E -6.31%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-16 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.53%EV -12.28%E -6.94%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-16 23:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.