Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nautico PE v Sport Recife

2026-09-26 19:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nautico PE (Local)

Prediction 47.46%2.11fair odd
EV -7.94%
Edge -4.09%
Kelly -8.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.46%47.46%47.46%48.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.911.931.9454.05%52.44%51.81%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sport Recife (Visit)

Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV -5.42%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.87%26.27%26.27%26.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.513.603.6029.41%28.48%27.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV -5.42%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.87%26.27%26.27%26.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.513.603.6029.41%28.48%27.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nautico PE (Local): 47.46%; Sport Recife (Visit): 26.27%; Draw: 26.27%. For Sport Recife (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -5.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.94%E -4.09%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.41%E -4.36%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.41%E -4.36%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 08:20
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.41%E -4.36%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 08:20
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.41%E -4.36%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 08:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.41%E -4.36%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.41%E -4.36%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 08:20
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.46%EV -9.36%E -4.90%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-16 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.49%EV -10.78%E -5.74%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-16 08:20
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.49%EV -10.78%E -5.74%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-16 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.49%EV -10.78%E -5.74%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-16 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -11.26%E -6.02%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-16 08:20
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -12.21%E -6.60%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-16 08:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.