L’École des cotesFrançais
Nautico PE v Criciuma
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nautico PE (Local)
Prévision 38.70%2.58cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -3.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.07%38.86%38.67%42.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.142.312.372.4746.73%43.20%42.28%40.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Criciuma (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.93%3.71cote équitable
EV +6.38%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +2.16%
Croissance +0.138%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.77%26.95%27.13%30.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.543.583.9535.71%28.28%27.97%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 34.37%2.91cote équitable
EV +3.11%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.56%
Croissance +0.048%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.25%34.19%34.20%35.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.692.703.0038.46%37.16%37.04%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +6.38%E +1.62%K +2.16%G +0.138% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +6.38%E +1.62%K +2.16%G +0.138% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +6.38%E +1.62%K +2.16%G +0.138% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +6.38%E +1.62%K +2.16%G +0.138% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +6.38%E +1.62%K +2.16%G +0.138% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +6.38%E +1.62%K +2.16%G +0.138% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +6.38%E +1.62%K +2.16%G +0.138% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.97%EV -13.71%E -6.15%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +5.04%E +1.29%K +1.74%G +0.087% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 18:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.13%EV -15.64%E -7.18%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV +3.69%E +0.958%K +1.29%G +0.048% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.13%EV -15.64%E -7.18%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV +3.69%E +0.958%K +1.29%G +0.048% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.22%EV -16.42%E -7.60%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV +2.34%E +0.617%K +0.837%G +0.020% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.05%EV -17.19%E -8.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV +0.996%E +0.266%K +0.362%G +0.004% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.96%EV -8.92%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.05%EV -17.19%E -8.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV +0.996%E +0.266%K +0.362%G +0.004% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.96%EV -8.92%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.05%EV -17.19%E -8.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV +0.996%E +0.266%K +0.362%G +0.004% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.96%EV -8.92%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.98%EV -4.42%E -1.79%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -3.04%E -0.845%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.27%EV -3.42%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -3.04%E -0.845%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.92%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -3.04%E -0.845%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -3.04%E -0.845%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.43%EV -6.74%E -2.80%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.97%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -6.85%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -6.51%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -6.51%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.06%E -3.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV +3.11%E +1.04%K +1.56%G +0.048% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.92%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -24.59%E -8.78%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.29% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.32% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.03% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |