La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nautico PE v América Mineiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nautico PE (Local)
Predicción 47.16%2.12momio equitativo
EV -5.67%
Ventaja -2.84%
Kelly -5.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.90%47.21%47.10%48.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.941.932.0054.64%51.66%51.81%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
América Mineiro (Visitante)
Predicción 24.44%4.09momio equitativo
EV +3.12%
Ventaja +0.739%
Kelly +0.968%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.79%24.36%24.46%25.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.813.804.2228.57%26.25%26.32%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.40%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.43%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.14%28.43%28.44%29.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.4034.72%30.68%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.79%EV +3.12%E +0.739%K +0.968%G +0.030% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.26%E -0.565%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.26%E -0.565%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 18:34 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -2.26%E -0.565%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.54%E -3.34%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 18:42 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -2.26%E -0.565%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.54%E -3.34%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 18:44 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -8.50%E -4.38%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.70%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.70%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 18:19 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.70%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 18:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.70%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.70%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.70%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.70%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.70%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -4.70%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.55%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 18:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.92%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 18:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.66%EV -10.86%E -5.75%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -5.92%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -4.85%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.15%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 19:03 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.39%E -5.47%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.15%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -11.33%E -6.03%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -7.15%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -4.85%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 18:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -11.33%E -6.03%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.15%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.37%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 01:34 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.37%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 18:34 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.37%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.37%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.37%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -12.75%E -6.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -8.37%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -12.75%E -6.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -8.37%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -12.75%E -6.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -8.37%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 18:19 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.59%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 01:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.59%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 01:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.59%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 18:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -10.39%E -5.47%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.59%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.56%E -3.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.81%E -2.96%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -12.03%E -3.34%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 18:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -10.39%E -5.47%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -12.03%E -3.34%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -11.81%E -6.31%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -12.03%E -3.34%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-05 07:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -13.69%E -7.48%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -14.48%E -4.14%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -18.20%E -6.32%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 18:34 |