赔率学院

Londrina v São Bernardo

开赛时间： 2026-05-10 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

14 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Londrina (主队)

预测 35.98%2.78公平赔率
EV -5.72%
优势 -2.19%
Kelly -3.53%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.62

博彩公司预测分布
35.14%36.49%36.01%38.96%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.382.532.552.6242.02%39.55%39.22%38.17%MIN均值中位数MAX

São Bernardo (客队)

预测 32.99%3.03公平赔率
EV +10.51%
优势 +3.14%
Kelly +4.47%
增长率 +0.470%

假设最高赔率为 3.35

博彩公司预测分布
27.68%32.08%33.15%34.23%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.622.842.793.3538.17%35.26%35.84%29.85%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 31.03%3.22公平赔率
EV -6.91%
优势 -2.30%
Kelly -3.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
29.90%31.43%30.85%33.36%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.702.912.943.0037.04%34.33%34.01%33.33%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (14 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -14.36%E -6.03%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV +10.51%E +3.14%K +4.47%G +0.470%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -13.74%E -4.94%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 06:09
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -14.36%E -6.03%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV +10.51%E +3.14%K +4.47%G +0.470%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -13.74%E -4.94%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 06:09
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.63%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 14:00
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.72%E -2.19%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.63%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 23:45
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.72%E -2.19%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.63%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 23:49
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.72%E -2.19%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.63%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 23:45
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.72%E -2.19%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.63%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 23:45
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -7.16%E -2.78%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -8.29%E -2.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 14:05
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -7.16%E -2.78%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -8.29%E -2.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 14:09
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 14:05
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 13:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.93%E -4.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-04 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -13.64%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -13.24%E -5.03%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -16.22%E -6.01%K -9.54%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-04 14:20
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.57%E -5.18%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-04 13:59
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 35.69%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.47%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.84%15.8%2026-05-04 14:09