默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Londrina v Juventude

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 15:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Londrina (主队)

预测 31.85%3.14公平赔率
EV -1.25%
优势 -0.404%
Kelly -0.596%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
30.17%31.70%31.96%32.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.912.893.1036.36%34.35%34.60%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

Juventude (客队)

预测 36.22%2.76公平赔率
EV -4.74%
优势 -1.80%
Kelly -2.91%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.63

博彩公司预测分布
35.32%36.16%36.17%37.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.532.582.6341.67%39.46%38.83%38.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.93%3.13公平赔率
EV -5.82%
优势 -1.97%
Kelly -2.98%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布
31.26%32.14%31.86%34.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.842.882.9537.04%35.25%34.78%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Londrina (主队):31.85%;Juventude (客队):36.22%;平局:31.93%。 对于“Londrina (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.14。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.10,期望值为-1.25%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -1.25%E -0.404%K -0.596%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.35%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.05%EV -8.37%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 11:59
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -2.84%E -0.932%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.96%EV -9.82%E -3.94%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -10.60%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 09:37
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.41%E -2.56%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-27 21:27
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -13.80%E -5.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-26 18:34
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -13.80%E -5.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-26 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -13.80%E -5.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-26 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -13.80%E -5.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-26 18:34
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 18:14
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-27 12:25
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.26%E -4.60%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.41%E -2.56%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-27 20:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.46%EV -4.74%E -1.80%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.41%E -2.56%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 09:05
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -10.60%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-27 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -10.60%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-27 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.58%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.60%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-27 19:50
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.58%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -13.08%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.60%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-27 20:35
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.21%E -3.23%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.64%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.41%E -2.56%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-27 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -7.41%E -2.56%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-27 12:25
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.05%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-26 18:15
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.64%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.41%E -2.56%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-26 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.40%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.05%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-27 12:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.43%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.89%6.9%2026-08-26 18:25
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.98%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.98%9.1%2026-08-27 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 37.17%1.21I 82.64%NM 33.48%1.38I 72.46%NM 29.36%146.9%2026-08-28 12:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 37.17%1.21I 82.64%NM 33.48%1.38I 72.46%NM 29.36%146.9%2026-08-28 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.75%1.08I 92.59%NM 32.50%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.75%184.9%2026-08-28 10:50