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Londrina v Cuiabá
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Londrina (Local)
Prediction 30.21%3.31fair odd
EV +0.901%
Edge +0.270%
Kelly +0.385%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.02%30.22%30.16%31.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.003.3435.71%33.11%33.33%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cuiabá (Visit)
Prediction 40.23%2.49fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.46%40.27%40.26%41.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.272.282.3845.87%43.98%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.56%3.38fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.656%
Kelly -0.940%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.60%29.51%29.58%30.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.113.103.3133.33%32.11%32.26%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Londrina (Local): 30.21%; Cuiabá (Visit): 40.23%; Draw: 29.56%. For Londrina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.901%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV +0.901%E +0.270%K +0.385%G +0.003% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.59%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.39%EV -8.97%E -2.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-20 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.45%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.08%EV -2.17%E -0.656%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-20 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.45%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.08%EV -2.17%E -0.656%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-20 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.44%EV -6.66%E -2.87%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-20 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.44%EV -6.66%E -2.87%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-20 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.84%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-20 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-20 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-20 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-20 21:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-20 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-20 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-20 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-20 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-20 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-20 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-20 22:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-20 22:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.35%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-20 22:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.17%EV -7.86%E -3.43%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-20 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -8.27%E -3.63%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.85%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-20 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -7.86%E -2.58%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -8.27%E -3.63%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.85%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-20 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.47%EV -8.77%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.84%EV -7.06%E -3.06%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-20 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.66%E -2.87%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-20 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.66%E -2.87%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-20 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.66%E -2.87%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-20 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.66%E -2.87%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-20 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.66%E -2.87%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-20 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.66%E -2.87%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-20 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.66%E -2.87%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-20 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-20 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.16%EV -7.86%E -3.43%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-20 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-20 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-20 21:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-20 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-20 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.37%E -3.12%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-20 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -10.88%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-20 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -12.39%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -8.27%E -3.63%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-20 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.05%EV -13.00%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.10%EV -10.28%E -4.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-20 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.05%EV -13.00%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.10%EV -10.28%E -4.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-20 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.00%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-20 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.00%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-20 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -13.00%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-20 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -13.30%E -4.63%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-20 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -13.30%E -4.63%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-20 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28%EV -13.90%E -4.88%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -10.28%E -4.61%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-20 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -13.90%E -4.88%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.48%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-20 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -15.41%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.11%EV -12.29%E -5.64%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -9.85%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-20 22:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 0.4% | 2026-10-20 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 0.4% | 2026-10-20 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 0.4% | 2026-10-20 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 0.4% | 2026-10-20 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-10-20 22:25 |