Language:English
Londrina v Criciuma
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Londrina (Local)
Prediction 30.38%3.29fair odd
EV -0.971%
Edge -0.298%
Kelly -0.430%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.40%30.33%30.41%32.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.973.003.2637.04%33.62%33.33%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Criciuma (Visit)
Prediction 39.89%2.51fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.433%
Kelly -0.726%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.92%39.86%42.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.332.4846.51%42.88%42.92%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.73%3.36fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.30%29.74%29.73%30.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.073.103.2533.90%32.53%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Londrina (Local): 30.38%; Criciuma (Visit): 39.89%; Draw: 29.73%. For Londrina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.26, with an expected value of -0.971%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -0.971%E -0.298%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.18%EV -9.45%E -4.16%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 23:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.61%EV -1.28%E -0.392%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.78%EV -5.86%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.61%EV -3.36%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-02 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -2.79%E -0.873%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -14.24%E -6.62%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-02 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.23%EV -6.66%E -2.85%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.63%EV -5.22%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -9.45%E -4.16%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.63%EV -7.23%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-02 23:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.85%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -5.86%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -5.86%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-02 23:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 12:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.53%EV -9.45%E -4.16%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.30%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 12:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 02:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 23:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-02 02:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -7.46%E -3.21%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 11:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.46%EV -7.46%E -3.21%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-02 02:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.46%EV -7.46%E -3.21%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-02 02:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-02 22:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.05%E -3.97%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-30 12:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-02 20:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-02 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.51%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-30 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -1.08%E -0.433%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -1.08%E -0.433%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -1.08%E -0.433%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -1.08%E -0.433%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -1.08%E -0.433%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -1.08%E -0.433%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -1.08%E -0.433%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -14.94%E -5.34%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.07%E -1.26%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-02 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -17.98%E -6.66%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-02 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 1.5% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 1.9% | 2026-10-02 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 1.9% | 2026-10-02 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 2.4% | 2026-10-02 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 23:25 |