Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Londrina v América Mineiro

2026-11-01 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Londrina (Local)

Prediction 52.10%1.92fair odd
EV -6.22%
Edge -3.46%
Kelly -7.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.93%52.23%52.20%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.771.8058.82%56.75%56.50%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

América Mineiro (Visit)

Prediction 21.89%4.57fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.328%
Kelly -0.422%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.20%21.66%21.81%22.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.184.184.5025.64%23.94%23.92%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.01%3.84fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.42%26.11%25.99%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.483.483.6629.41%28.73%28.78%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Londrina (Local): 52.10%; América Mineiro (Visit): 21.89%; Draw: 26.01%. For América Mineiro (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.50, with an expected value of -1.48%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.75%EV -4.98%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.80%EV -4.81%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -10.23%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-26 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -10.23%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-26 23:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.04%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-26 23:45
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.04%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-26 23:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.04%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-26 23:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.04%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-26 23:45
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -6.75%E -3.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.29%EV -8.92%E -2.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -6.89%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-26 23:35
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.27%E -4.08%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -7.79%E -4.40%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.20%EV -9.14%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.74%EV -6.89%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -7.79%E -4.40%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 03:29
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.83%E -5.05%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.61%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-27 03:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.83%E -5.05%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.61%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-27 03:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.83%E -5.05%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.61%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-27 03:30
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.83%E -5.05%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.61%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-27 03:30
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -9.87%E -5.71%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 03:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -11.43%E -6.73%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 03:28
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -11.43%E -6.73%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 03:30
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -11.43%E -6.73%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -1.48%E -0.328%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 03:29
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -11.43%E -6.73%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.42%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-26 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 52.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.93%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.41%16.5%2026-10-27 03:30