La scuola delle quote

Juventude v Sport Recife

Inizio: 2026-05-23 23:32 UTC

Finale: Juventude 0–1 Sport Recife

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Juventude (Casa)

Previsione 43.12%2.32quota equa
EV -3.84%
Vantaggio -1.72%
Kelly -3.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.23%43.27%43.05%45.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.132.152.2350.00%46.92%46.51%44.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sport Recife (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.04%3.70quota equa
EV +0.043%
Vantaggio +0.012%
Kelly +0.016%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.37%26.81%27.15%27.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.413.403.7032.26%29.32%29.41%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.84%3.35quota equa
EV -4.52%
Vantaggio -1.41%
Kelly -2.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.77%29.92%29.80%31.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.073.063.2035.71%32.62%32.63%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +0.043%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 23:30
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +0.043%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 23:29
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -13.75%E -6.88%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV +0.043%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.98%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 23:30
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.20%EV -3.84%E -1.72%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.32%EV -1.04%E -0.284%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.48%EV -5.71%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 23:29
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 23:30
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 23:30
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 23:29
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.60%E -5.66%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -14.07%E -4.88%K -7.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 23:29
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 23:28
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -11.60%E -5.66%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 23:29
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.01%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 23:29
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:29
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:30
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:29
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:29
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:29
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:30
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:29
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 23:21
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 23:29
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 23:28
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.68%EV -6.42%E -2.96%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -8.10%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 23:29
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -8.58%E -4.05%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -6.01%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 23:29
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -13.47%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 23:29
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -13.47%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 23:29
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.99%E -2.75%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 23:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.99%E -2.75%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 23:30
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 23:29
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 23:29
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 23:29
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 23:29
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.47%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:29
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.47%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:29
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 23:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 23:28
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.37%EV -10.74%E -5.19%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.20%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 23:29
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.37%EV -10.74%E -5.19%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.20%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 23:29
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.37%EV -10.74%E -5.19%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.20%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 23:28
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -13.75%E -6.88%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-23 23:30
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 23:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 23:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.75%E -6.88%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -16.45%E -5.88%K -9.14%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-23 23:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%1.2%2026-05-23 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%1.2%2026-05-23 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%2.0%2026-05-23 23:30
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.98%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.99%2.4%2026-05-23 23:30
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 43.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.90%4.4%2026-05-23 23:30