L’École des cotesFrançais
Juventude v Sport Recife
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Juventude (Local)
Prévision 43.12%2.32cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.23%43.27%43.05%45.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.152.2350.00%46.92%46.51%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sport Recife (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.04%3.70cote équitable
EV +0.043%
Avantage +0.012%
Kelly +0.016%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%26.81%27.15%27.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.413.403.7032.26%29.32%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.84%3.35cote équitable
EV -4.52%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.77%29.92%29.80%31.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.073.063.2035.71%32.62%32.63%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +0.043%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +0.043%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -13.75%E -6.88%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV +0.043%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.98%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.20%EV -3.84%E -1.72%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.32%EV -1.04%E -0.284%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.48%EV -5.71%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| BetUS | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.60%E -5.66%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -14.07%E -4.88%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 23:28 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -11.60%E -5.66%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.01%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| betPARX | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.85%E -3.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 23:21 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.52%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 23:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.68%EV -6.42%E -2.96%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -8.10%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -8.58%E -4.05%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -6.01%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -13.47%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -13.47%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.99%E -2.75%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.99%E -2.75%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.29%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.47%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.13%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.47%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 23:28 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.37%EV -10.74%E -5.19%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.20%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.37%EV -10.74%E -5.19%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.20%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.37%EV -10.74%E -5.19%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.20%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 23:28 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -13.75%E -6.88%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.44%E -4.50%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.49%E -3.50%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.75%E -6.88%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -16.45%E -5.88%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88% | 1.2% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88% | 1.2% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.98% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.99% | 2.4% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.55% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.90% | 4.4% | 2026-05-23 23:30 |