Language:English
Juventude v Operario PR
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juventude (Local)
Prediction 55.82%1.79fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -4.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.20%55.88%55.86%58.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.661.671.7364.52%60.24%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Operario PR (Visit)
Prediction 18.24%5.48fair odd
EV +3.98%
Edge +0.699%
Kelly +0.847%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 5.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.39%18.07%18.24%19.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.025.005.7021.74%19.93%20.00%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.94%3.86fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.14%26.06%25.90%27.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.463.403.7131.25%28.89%29.41%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juventude (Local): 55.82%; Operario PR (Visit): 18.24%; Draw: 25.94%. For Operario PR (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.48. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.51%EV -9.01%E -5.53%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.45%EV +3.98%E +0.699%K +0.847%G +0.034% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 23:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.66%EV -9.57%E -5.91%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV +3.98%E +0.699%K +0.847%G +0.034% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.10%EV -6.22%E -3.70%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 17.04%EV +2.71%E +0.481%K +0.584%G +0.016% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.86%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 23:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -13.48%E -8.70%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV +0.334%E +0.061%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-02 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.85%EV -9.57%E -5.91%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.21%EV -2.40%E -0.449%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-02 23:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.78%E -4.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.23%E -0.805%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 23:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -6.78%E -4.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.23%E -0.805%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.37%EV -5.66%E -3.35%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.89%EV -4.59%E -0.878%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 23:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.88%EV -6.22%E -3.70%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -6.96%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.33%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.88%EV -6.22%E -3.70%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -6.96%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.33%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.88%EV -6.22%E -3.70%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -6.96%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.33%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 23:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.17%EV -8.45%E -5.15%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.24%EV -7.87%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-02 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -3.43%E -1.98%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -3.43%E -1.98%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -3.43%E -1.98%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -3.43%E -1.98%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -3.43%E -1.98%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -3.43%E -1.98%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -3.43%E -1.98%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.78%E -4.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-02 21:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.78%E -4.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-02 23:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.90%E -4.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-02 23:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.90%E -4.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.78%E -4.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.90%E -4.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-02 23:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.90%E -4.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-02 23:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.90%E -4.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-02 23:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.57%E -5.91%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.90%E -4.79%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-02 23:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.57%E -5.91%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -10.13%E -6.29%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-02 22:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -10.13%E -6.29%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-02 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -12.36%E -7.87%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -12.36%E -7.87%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-02 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.70%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -10.61%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.63%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-02 23:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -6.78%E -4.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -10.61%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-02 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -6.22%E -3.70%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -10.61%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -6.22%E -3.70%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -10.61%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 21:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -9.57%E -5.91%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -9.57%E -5.91%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -10.13%E -6.29%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -10.13%E -6.29%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -4.55%E -2.66%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -13.35%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -14.41%E -4.37%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.35%EV -6.22%E -3.70%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -14.26%E -3.03%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -15.71%E -4.83%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-02 23:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.35%EV -6.22%E -3.70%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -14.26%E -3.03%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -15.71%E -4.83%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.35%EV -6.22%E -3.70%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -14.26%E -3.03%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -15.71%E -4.83%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -6.78%E -4.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -16.08%E -3.50%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -15.71%E -4.83%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.20%EV -7.34%E -4.42%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -16.08%E -3.50%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -17.00%E -5.31%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-02 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.48% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 0.6% | 2026-10-02 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.48% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 0.6% | 2026-10-02 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.48% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 0.6% | 2026-10-02 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.48% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 0.6% | 2026-10-02 23:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.97% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-10-02 23:40 |