The School of Odds
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Juventude v Nautico PE

2026-10-26 23:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juventude (Local)

Prediction 58.75%1.70fair odd
EV -5.41%
Edge -3.36%
Kelly -8.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.25%58.70%58.78%60.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.561.571.6168.03%63.94%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nautico PE (Visit)

Prediction 16.77%5.96fair odd
EV -0.364%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.074%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.85%16.83%16.78%18.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.315.505.9420.83%18.83%18.18%16.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.48%4.09fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.776%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.78%24.47%24.44%25.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.703.653.9627.78%27.04%27.40%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Juventude (Local): 58.75%; Nautico PE (Visit): 16.77%; Draw: 24.48%. For Nautico PE (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.96. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.94, with an expected value of -0.364%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -5.41%E -3.36%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -16.13%E -3.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-20 00:49
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -6.00%E -3.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -6.00%E -3.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.49%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 00:50
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -6.00%E -3.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.49%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 00:50
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -6.00%E -3.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.49%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -6.00%E -3.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.49%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 00:50
LeoVegas🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.18%E -4.54%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-20 01:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.33%EV -7.18%E -4.54%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-20 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -7.76%E -4.94%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -4.39%E -0.770%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 01:10
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.99%EV -7.76%E -4.94%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 16.96%EV -8.42%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 01:15
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -7.76%E -4.94%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-20 01:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -7.76%E -4.94%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-20 01:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -7.76%E -4.94%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-20 01:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -7.76%E -4.94%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-20 01:55
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.76%E -4.94%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -16.13%E -3.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-20 01:10
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.37%EV -8.35%E -5.35%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.85%EV -0.364%E -0.061%K -0.074%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.78%EV -3.07%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 01:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -8.94%E -5.77%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -5.76%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -8.94%E -5.77%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-20 01:10
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -8.94%E -5.77%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-20 01:10
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.34%EV -9.53%E -6.19%K -17.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-20 01:09
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -10.11%E -6.61%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -11.94%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-20 02:49
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -10.11%E -6.61%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -11.94%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-20 02:45
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.11%E -6.61%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -16.13%E -3.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-20 01:10
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.11%E -6.61%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -16.13%E -3.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-20 01:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.68%EV -13.64%E -9.28%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.88%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-20 06:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 57.02%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.53%16.9%2026-10-20 01:10