The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Juventude v Nautico PE

Kickoff: 2026-10-26 23:34 UTC

Final: Juventude 4–0 Nautico PE

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juventude (Local)

Prediction 66.37%1.51fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -5.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.24%66.28%66.34%68.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.401.401.4776.92%71.29%71.43%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nautico PE (Visit)

Prediction 11.91%8.40fair odd
EV +4.65%
Edge +0.529%
Kelly +0.597%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 8.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.91%11.96%12.02%14.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.417.508.7916.00%13.50%13.33%11.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.73%4.60fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.495%
Kelly -0.637%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.58%21.76%21.64%22.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.174.204.5025.64%23.97%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juventude (Local): 66.37%; Nautico PE (Visit): 11.91%; Draw: 21.73%. For Nautico PE (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.40. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.58%EV -4.43%E -3.08%K -10.07%G +0.000%8.79I 11.38%NM 10.91%EV +4.65%E +0.529%K +0.597%G +0.028%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.51%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-26 23:15
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.43%E -3.08%K -10.07%G +0.000%8.67I 11.53%NM 11.06%EV +3.22%E +0.371%K +0.420%G +0.014%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.35%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-26 23:25
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.79%EV -5.76%E -4.05%K -13.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV +1.20%E +0.141%K +0.159%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 23:14
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.01%EV -5.76%E -4.05%K -13.71%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.07%EV +0.839%E +0.099%K +0.112%G +0.001%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.92%EV -11.14%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-26 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.15%EV -6.42%E -4.55%K -15.66%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.15%EV -6.42%E -4.55%K -15.66%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 23:20
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.13%EV -7.75%E -5.57%K -19.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -4.76%E -0.595%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -8.41%E -6.10%K -22.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -4.76%E -0.595%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 23:15
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -4.76%E -0.595%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 23:20
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.76%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -4.76%E -0.595%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -12.01%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 23:19
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -4.76%E -0.595%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-26 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -4.76%E -0.595%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-26 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -4.76%E -0.595%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-26 23:15
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -4.76%E -0.595%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-26 23:14
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.74%E -7.16%K -27.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -4.76%E -0.595%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.07%EV -13.72%E -10.56%K -45.74%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.35%EV -7.14%E -0.915%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.58%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-26 23:20
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -7.73%E -0.998%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -2.23%E -0.495%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.76%EV -8.41%E -6.10%K -22.14%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.96%EV -8.33%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 21:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.29%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.71%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.33%EV -5.49%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-26 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.96%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -10.71%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-26 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.41%E -6.10%K -22.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.71%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -8.41%E -6.10%K -22.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -10.71%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-26 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -9.74%E -7.16%K -27.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -10.71%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 23:25
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.74%E -7.16%K -27.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -10.71%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-26 21:13
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -11.73%E -8.82%K -35.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -10.71%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-26 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -11.73%E -8.82%K -35.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -10.71%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-26 23:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.18%EV -7.75%E -5.57%K -19.87%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.43%EV -11.90%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-26 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.17%EV -8.41%E -6.10%K -22.14%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.34%EV -11.90%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.49%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-26 21:45
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.17%EV -8.41%E -6.10%K -22.14%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.34%EV -11.90%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.49%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-26 21:45
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -2.44%E -1.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -16.66%E -2.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 22:50
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -2.44%E -1.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -16.66%E -2.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -2.44%E -1.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -16.66%E -2.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -2.44%E -1.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -16.66%E -2.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -2.44%E -1.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -16.66%E -2.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -2.44%E -1.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -16.66%E -2.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 22:50
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -2.44%E -1.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -16.66%E -2.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 22:49
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -16.66%E -2.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-26 21:07
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.54%EV -8.41%E -6.10%K -22.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -16.66%E -2.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-26 23:25
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.74%E -7.16%K -27.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -16.66%E -2.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-26 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -22.61%E -3.48%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-26 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -22.61%E -3.48%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-26 20:20
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -22.61%E -3.48%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-26 20:20
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -22.61%E -3.48%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-26 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -22.61%E -3.48%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-26 20:20
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.24%EV -5.76%E -4.05%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -23.81%E -3.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.73%EV -14.18%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-26 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.24%EV -5.76%E -4.05%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -23.81%E -3.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.73%EV -14.18%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-26 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.40%EV -6.42%E -4.55%K -15.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -23.81%E -3.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -14.18%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-26 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.57%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.90%EV -23.81%E -3.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -14.18%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-26 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.51%EV -8.41%E -6.10%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -25.59%E -4.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-26 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.46I 68.49%NM 68.06%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-10-26 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 68.06%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-10-26 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 68.06%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-10-26 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.90%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09%0.9%2026-10-26 23:20
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-10-26 23:20