Language:English
Grêmio Novorizontino v São Bernardo
Head to Head
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Prediction 55.87%1.79fair odd
EV -7.81%
Edge -4.73%
Kelly -12.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.60%55.87%55.87%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.651.6563.69%61.38%60.61%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
São Bernardo (Visit)
Prediction 19.17%5.22fair odd
EV -6.05%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.95%19.17%19.17%19.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.804.904.9021.74%20.85%20.41%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.95%4.01fair odd
EV -6.43%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.76%24.95%24.95%25.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.683.753.7528.17%27.20%26.67%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Grêmio Novorizontino (Local): 55.87%; São Bernardo (Visit): 19.17%; Draw: 24.95%. For São Bernardo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.22. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.90, with an expected value of -6.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -7.81%E -4.73%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.05%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 08:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -7.81%E -4.73%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.05%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 08:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -7.81%E -4.73%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.05%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 08:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -7.81%E -4.73%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.05%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 08:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -7.81%E -4.73%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.05%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 08:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -7.81%E -4.73%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.05%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 08:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -7.81%E -4.73%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.05%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 08:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.92%E -5.48%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -8.92%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -8.92%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-16 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.87%EV -10.04%E -6.24%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-16 08:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.87%EV -10.04%E -6.24%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-16 08:06 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.87%EV -10.04%E -6.24%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-16 08:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60%EV -10.60%E -6.63%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -11.42%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 08:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.07%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -11.42%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-16 08:06 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.