语言:简体中文
Grêmio Novorizontino v Londrina
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Grêmio Novorizontino (主队)
预测 59.60%1.68公平赔率
EV -5.83%
优势 -3.69%
Kelly -10.04%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.58
博彩公司预测分布
56.93%59.61%59.60%60.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.541.561.5866.67%64.83%64.10%63.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
Londrina (客队)
预测 15.50%6.45公平赔率
EV +0.753%
优势 +0.116%
Kelly +0.137%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
14.18%15.45%15.50%16.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.006.006.5018.18%16.68%16.67%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.90%4.02公平赔率
EV -6.64%
优势 -1.77%
Kelly -2.42%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
24.38%24.94%24.90%27.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.663.723.7532.26%27.35%26.88%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Grêmio Novorizontino (主队)：59.60%；Londrina (客队)：15.50%；平局：24.90%。 对于“Londrina (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.45。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+0.753%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +0.753%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -8.81%E -5.76%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +0.753%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-20 05:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.66%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV -5.45%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -6.64%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -5.45%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.64%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -5.45%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.64%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -5.45%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.64%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -5.45%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.64%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -5.45%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.64%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -5.45%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.64%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -5.45%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.64%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.78%EV -8.21%E -5.33%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.00%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.89%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -8.81%E -5.76%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -7.00%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -9.13%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.05%EV -10.00%E -6.62%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -7.00%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -9.13%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.81%E -5.76%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -7.00%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.87%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.39%EV -7.02%E -4.50%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -8.55%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.91%EV -7.39%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.00%EV -9.79%E -1.68%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.04%EV -7.39%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.69%EV -10.59%E -7.06%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -10.10%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.69%EV -10.59%E -7.06%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -10.10%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.69%EV -10.59%E -7.06%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -10.10%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -14.75%E -2.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.64%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.93%EV -10.59%E -7.06%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -14.75%E -2.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -22.83%E -7.36%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。