Language:English
Grêmio Novorizontino v Clube de Regatas Brasil
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Prediction 48.43%2.07fair odd
EV -5.57%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -5.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.24%48.54%48.36%51.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.881.881.9556.50%53.11%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit)
Prediction 23.77%4.21fair odd
EV +6.98%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +1.99%
Growth +0.139%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.76%23.60%23.93%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.953.954.5027.78%25.31%25.32%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.80%3.60fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%27.86%27.70%29.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.303.4533.33%30.28%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grêmio Novorizontino (Local): 48.43%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit): 23.77%; Draw: 27.80%. For Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.44%E -5.05%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +6.98%E +1.55%K +1.99%G +0.139% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.28%EV -11.31%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -6.54%E -3.39%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV +2.22%E +0.516%K +0.673%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 13:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -6.54%E -3.39%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV +2.22%E +0.516%K +0.673%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 13:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -6.54%E -3.39%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV +2.22%E +0.516%K +0.673%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 13:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.26%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.49%EV +1.51%E +0.353%K +0.461%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 20:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -14.29%E -8.07%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -0.157%E -0.037%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -8.47%E -4.48%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -2.53%E -0.618%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 20:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -8.96%E -4.77%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.53%E -0.618%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 20:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -8.96%E -4.77%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.53%E -0.618%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 20:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -8.96%E -4.77%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.53%E -0.618%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 20:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -8.96%E -4.77%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.53%E -0.618%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 20:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -8.96%E -4.77%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.53%E -0.618%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 20:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -8.96%E -4.77%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.53%E -0.618%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 20:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -8.96%E -4.77%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.53%E -0.618%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 20:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.96%EV -8.96%E -4.77%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -3.72%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 17:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.99%E -4.21%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -10.41%E -5.63%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -11.38%E -6.22%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 20:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -11.38%E -6.22%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 20:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.10%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.83%EV -12.35%E -6.82%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -6.10%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-05 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.83%EV -12.35%E -6.82%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -6.10%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-05 20:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.83%EV -12.35%E -6.82%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -6.10%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-05 20:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.99%E -4.21%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.29%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.44%E -5.05%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -7.29%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 20:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -7.02%E -3.66%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.48%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -8.48%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 13:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -8.48%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 13:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -6.05%E -3.12%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 13:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -9.44%E -5.05%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.41%E -5.63%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -10.41%E -5.63%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 20:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -9.44%E -5.05%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -12.83%E -7.13%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -16.60%E -5.53%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.53%EV -9.44%E -5.05%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.42%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 13:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.41%E -5.63%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.42%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.41%E -5.63%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.42%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.41%E -5.63%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.42%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.41%E -5.63%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.42%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.60% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.78% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.62% | -0.2% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36% | 2.2% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |