赔率学院

Grêmio Novorizontino v Botafogo

开赛时间: 2026-05-11 22:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (主队)

预测 51.73%1.93公平赔率
EV -5.33%
优势 -2.91%
Kelly -6.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布
49.69%51.79%51.67%54.15%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.671.771.751.8359.88%56.54%57.14%54.64%MIN均值中位数MAX

Botafogo (客队)

预测 20.31%4.92公平赔率
EV -0.457%
优势 -0.093%
Kelly -0.117%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.90

博彩公司预测分布
18.45%20.17%20.32%21.22%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.204.454.504.9023.81%22.47%22.22%20.41%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 27.95%3.58公平赔率
EV -4.96%
优势 -1.46%
Kelly -2.07%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.04%28.04%28.01%29.85%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.883.223.233.4034.72%31.06%31.01%29.41%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 09:14
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 09:14
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 09:14
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 09:14
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -5.85%E -3.21%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 19:19
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -6.88%E -3.82%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -6.55%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 22:01
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.88%E -3.82%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:19
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.92%E -4.45%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -5.54%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 01:40
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.92%E -4.45%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -5.54%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 01:40
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 51.41%EV -8.44%E -4.77%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 22:04
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 17:19
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.68%E -3.49%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 22:04
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.68%E -3.49%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 22:04
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.68%E -3.49%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.68%E -3.49%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 22:04
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -9.99%E -5.74%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -6.55%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 17:19
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -9.99%E -5.74%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 17:24
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -10.50%E -6.07%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 17:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -10.50%E -6.07%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-05 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -10.50%E -6.07%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.68%E -3.49%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -19.49%E -6.77%K -10.37%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-08 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -13.61%E -8.15%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -0.457%E -0.093%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 08:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 50.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.49%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.88%16.2%2026-05-08 06:20