La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Grêmio Novorizontino v Botafogo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Grêmio Novorizontino (Casa)
Previsione 51.73%1.93quota equa
EV -5.33%
Vantaggio -2.91%
Kelly -6.42%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.69%51.79%51.67%54.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.771.751.8359.88%56.54%57.14%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Botafogo (Trasferta)
Previsione 20.31%4.92quota equa
EV -0.457%
Vantaggio -0.093%
Kelly -0.117%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.45%20.17%20.32%21.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.454.504.9023.81%22.47%22.22%20.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.95%3.58quota equa
EV -4.96%
Vantaggio -1.46%
Kelly -2.07%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.04%28.04%28.01%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.223.233.4034.72%31.06%31.01%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-07 09:14 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-07 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-07 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-07 09:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -5.85%E -3.21%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 19:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -6.88%E -3.82%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -6.55%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 22:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.88%E -3.82%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.92%E -4.45%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -5.54%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 01:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.92%E -4.45%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -5.54%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 01:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.41%EV -8.44%E -4.77%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-07 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.68%E -3.49%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.68%E -3.49%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.68%E -3.49%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.68%E -3.49%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -9.99%E -5.74%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -6.55%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -9.99%E -5.74%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 17:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -10.50%E -6.07%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -10.50%E -6.07%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -12.04%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-05 08:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -10.50%E -6.07%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.68%E -3.49%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -19.49%E -6.77%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-08 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -13.61%E -8.15%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -0.457%E -0.093%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 08:14 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (1)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.63% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.49% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.88% | 16.2% | 2026-05-08 06:20 |