La scuola delle quote

Goiás v Operario PR

Inizio: 2026-06-21 21:30 UTC

Finale: Goiás 0–3 Operario PR

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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32 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Goiás (Casa)

Previsione 41.14%2.43quota equa
EV -3.33%
Vantaggio -1.42%
Kelly -2.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.81%41.09%41.16%42.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.252.252.3547.62%44.48%44.44%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Operario PR (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.19%3.55quota equa
EV -3.87%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.51%28.21%28.26%30.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.243.233.4133.33%30.83%31.01%29.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.67%3.26quota equa
EV -2.46%
Vantaggio -0.774%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.00%30.71%30.59%31.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.882.972.983.1834.72%33.67%33.56%31.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -3.33%E -1.42%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -11.20%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.91%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-21 21:19
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.50%EV -4.56%E -1.97%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.23%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.27%EV -2.46%E -0.774%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 21:10
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.64%EV -4.56%E -1.97%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.64%EV -8.59%E -2.88%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 21:19
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.64%EV -4.56%E -1.97%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.64%EV -8.59%E -2.88%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 21:19
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 40.64%EV -4.56%E -1.97%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.64%EV -8.59%E -2.88%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 21:20
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.91%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 21:20
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 21:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-21 21:19
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-21 21:19
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-21 21:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-21 21:19
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.03%E -3.11%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 21:19
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 40.80%EV -7.03%E -3.11%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -9.51%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 21:19
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-21 21:19
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.97%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-21 21:19
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-21 21:19
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.20%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-21 21:09
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.05%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.88%EV -12.05%E -3.86%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-21 21:20
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -15.43%E -5.14%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-21 21:19
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.62%EV -8.68%E -3.91%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-21 21:09
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.62%EV -8.68%E -3.91%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-21 21:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.91%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 21:09
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-21 21:10
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.56%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.51%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-21 21:10
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.79%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-21 21:09
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.38%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.66%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-21 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-21 21:10
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-21 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-21 21:10
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-21 21:10
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.56%E -5.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-21 21:08
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -13.61%E -6.48%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.51%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-21 21:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-06-21 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-06-21 21:20
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-06-21 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-06-21 21:20
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-06-21 21:20