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Goiás v Nautico PE
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Goiás (Local)
Prediction 54.88%1.82fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -5.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.29%54.93%54.90%58.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.661.671.7565.79%60.32%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nautico PE (Visit)
Prediction 20.04%4.99fair odd
EV +10.21%
Edge +1.86%
Kelly +2.27%
Growth +0.232%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.05%19.91%20.06%21.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.744.605.5023.81%21.09%21.74%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.08%3.99fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -0.892%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.96%25.16%25.03%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.653.8529.41%27.47%27.40%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Goiás (Local): 54.88%; Nautico PE (Visit): 20.04%; Draw: 25.08%. For Nautico PE (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.99. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -12.19%E -7.62%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +10.21%E +1.86%K +2.27%G +0.232% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.43%E -0.892%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -12.19%E -7.62%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +10.21%E +1.86%K +2.27%G +0.232% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.43%E -0.892%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -12.19%E -7.62%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +10.21%E +1.86%K +2.27%G +0.232% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.43%E -0.892%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -12.19%E -7.62%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +10.21%E +1.86%K +2.27%G +0.232% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.43%E -0.892%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -12.19%E -7.62%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +10.21%E +1.86%K +2.27%G +0.232% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.43%E -0.892%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -12.19%E -7.62%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +10.21%E +1.86%K +2.27%G +0.232% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.43%E -0.892%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -12.19%E -7.62%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +10.21%E +1.86%K +2.27%G +0.232% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.43%E -0.892%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.08%EV -14.39%E -9.22%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV +4.20%E +0.807%K +0.999%G +0.042% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.85%EV -14.94%E -9.64%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV +2.19%E +0.430%K +0.535%G +0.012% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -8.45%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.85%EV -14.94%E -9.64%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV +2.19%E +0.430%K +0.535%G +0.012% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -8.45%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.81%EV -15.49%E -10.06%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV +2.19%E +0.430%K +0.535%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -16.03%E -10.48%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV +2.19%E +0.430%K +0.535%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.40%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.90%EV +1.59%E +0.314%K +0.391%G +0.006% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -6.44%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.73%EV -16.58%E -10.91%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV +0.190%E +0.038%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -1.81%E -0.370%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -1.81%E -0.370%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.36%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.82%E -0.795%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-19 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.90%EV -7.25%E -4.29%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -3.82%E -0.795%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.85%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -3.82%E -0.795%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-19 22:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -4.82%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-19 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.82%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-19 22:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -4.82%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -7.25%E -4.29%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.82%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-19 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.19%EV -14.94%E -9.64%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -5.82%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.83%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.74%EV -9.63%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV -6.94%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-19 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.83%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-19 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.83%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.83%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.83%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.83%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.83%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.45%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.83%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.45%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.45%E -5.73%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.83%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.83%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-19 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.83%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-19 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.83%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-19 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.83%E -2.18%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-19 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.83%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.83%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.83%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -11.83%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.77%EV -7.25%E -4.29%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -13.24%E -3.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -13.24%E -3.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -9.70%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -15.84%E -3.77%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -15.84%E -3.77%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -15.84%E -3.77%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-19 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -15.84%E -3.77%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -15.84%E -3.77%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-19 22:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.60% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 0.5% | 2026-10-19 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.43% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.43% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.43% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.43% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-10-19 22:20 |