L’École des cotes

Goiás v Cuiabá

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 21:00 UTC

Score final : Goiás 0–2 Cuiabá

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Goiás (Local)

Prévision 50.75%1.97cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -4.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.31%50.89%50.70%53.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.791.801.8959.52%55.84%55.56%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cuiabá (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.66%5.09cote équitable
EV +4.18%
Avantage +0.789%
Kelly +0.972%
Croissance +0.041%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.54%19.49%19.72%21.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.734.805.3023.81%21.15%20.83%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.59%3.38cote équitable
EV +2.09%
Avantage +0.606%
Kelly +0.853%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.27%29.62%29.58%31.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.163.133.4534.48%31.66%31.90%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.42%EV -11.69%E -6.72%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV +4.18%E +0.789%K +0.972%G +0.041%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 20:24
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.73%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.54%EV +1.63%E +0.314%K +0.390%G +0.006%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.73%EV -7.68%E -2.46%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 20:45
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.39%EV -8.14%E -4.50%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -1.72%E -0.343%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 20:35
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -1.72%E -0.343%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 19:45
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -13.72%E -8.07%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -1.72%E -0.343%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 20:25
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -10.68%E -6.07%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV +2.09%E +0.606%K +0.853%G +0.018%6.2%2026-04-19 20:40
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -10.68%E -6.07%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV +2.09%E +0.606%K +0.853%G +0.018%6.2%2026-04-19 20:40
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -10.17%E -5.75%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.610%E +0.179%K +0.254%G +0.002%6.3%2026-04-19 20:55
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -10.17%E -5.75%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.610%E +0.179%K +0.254%G +0.002%6.3%2026-04-19 20:55
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -10.17%E -5.75%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.610%E +0.179%K +0.254%G +0.002%6.3%2026-04-19 20:55
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -10.17%E -5.75%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.610%E +0.179%K +0.254%G +0.002%6.3%2026-04-19 20:55
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -10.17%E -5.75%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.610%E +0.179%K +0.254%G +0.002%6.3%2026-04-19 20:55
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.42%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV +0.610%E +0.179%K +0.254%G +0.002%7.0%2026-04-19 20:40
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -9.75%E -3.20%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 20:40
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -9.75%E -3.20%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 20:40
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -12.71%E -7.39%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 20:40
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 20:40
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -12.71%E -7.39%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -0.869%E -0.260%K -0.370%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.57%EV -13.21%E -7.73%K -18.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -0.869%E -0.260%K -0.370%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 20:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.42%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -14.19%E -4.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 20:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.42%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -14.19%E -4.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 20:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.42%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -14.19%E -4.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 20:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.42%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -14.19%E -4.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 20:50
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 20:15
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 20:35
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -13.21%E -7.73%K -18.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.09%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -3.83%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.72%E -8.07%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.61%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -3.83%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 20:55
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.72%E -8.07%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.61%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -3.83%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 20:55
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.58%EV -14.74%E -8.77%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -7.61%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -2.35%E -0.712%K -1.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 20:40
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.34%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -8.60%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.71%EV -10.63%E -3.52%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 20:55
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.78%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.88%EV -8.60%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.79%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:25
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.78%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.88%EV -8.60%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.79%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:25
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 20:15
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.54%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 18:55
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.54%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 20:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.54%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.23%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 20:50
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -11.54%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.23%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 19:25
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 20:35
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -14.19%E -4.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 20:45
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.23%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.23%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 20:35
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.23%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.23%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 20:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-04-19 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-04-19 20:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-04-19 20:45
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-04-19 20:55
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.46%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.45%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%2.3%2026-04-19 20:55