La escuela de los momios

Goiás v Cuiabá

Inicio: 2026-04-19 21:00 UTC

Final: Goiás 0–2 Cuiabá

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Goiás (Local)

Predicción 50.75%1.97momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -4.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.31%50.89%50.70%53.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.791.801.8959.52%55.84%55.56%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cuiabá (Visitante)

Predicción 19.66%5.09momio equitativo
EV +4.18%
Ventaja +0.789%
Kelly +0.972%
Crecimiento +0.041%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.54%19.49%19.72%21.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.734.805.3023.81%21.15%20.83%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.59%3.38momio equitativo
EV +2.09%
Ventaja +0.606%
Kelly +0.853%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%29.62%29.58%31.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.163.133.4534.48%31.66%31.90%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.42%EV -11.69%E -6.72%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV +4.18%E +0.789%K +0.972%G +0.041%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 20:24
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.73%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.54%EV +1.63%E +0.314%K +0.390%G +0.006%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.73%EV -7.68%E -2.46%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 20:45
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.39%EV -8.14%E -4.50%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -1.72%E -0.343%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 20:35
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -1.72%E -0.343%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 19:45
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -13.72%E -8.07%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -1.72%E -0.343%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 20:25
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -10.68%E -6.07%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV +2.09%E +0.606%K +0.853%G +0.018%6.2%2026-04-19 20:40
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -10.68%E -6.07%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV +2.09%E +0.606%K +0.853%G +0.018%6.2%2026-04-19 20:40
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -10.17%E -5.75%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.610%E +0.179%K +0.254%G +0.002%6.3%2026-04-19 20:55
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -10.17%E -5.75%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.610%E +0.179%K +0.254%G +0.002%6.3%2026-04-19 20:55
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -10.17%E -5.75%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.610%E +0.179%K +0.254%G +0.002%6.3%2026-04-19 20:55
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -10.17%E -5.75%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.610%E +0.179%K +0.254%G +0.002%6.3%2026-04-19 20:55
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -10.17%E -5.75%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.610%E +0.179%K +0.254%G +0.002%6.3%2026-04-19 20:55
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.42%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV +0.610%E +0.179%K +0.254%G +0.002%7.0%2026-04-19 20:40
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -9.75%E -3.20%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 20:40
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -9.75%E -3.20%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 20:40
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -12.71%E -7.39%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 20:40
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 20:40
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -12.71%E -7.39%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -0.869%E -0.260%K -0.370%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.57%EV -13.21%E -7.73%K -18.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -0.869%E -0.260%K -0.370%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 20:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.42%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -14.19%E -4.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 20:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.42%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -14.19%E -4.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 20:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.42%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -14.19%E -4.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 20:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.42%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -14.19%E -4.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 20:50
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 20:15
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -6.11%E -3.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 20:35
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -13.21%E -7.73%K -18.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.09%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -3.83%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.72%E -8.07%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.61%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -3.83%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 20:55
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.72%E -8.07%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.61%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -3.83%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 20:55
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.58%EV -14.74%E -8.77%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -7.61%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -2.35%E -0.712%K -1.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 20:40
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.34%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -8.60%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.71%EV -10.63%E -3.52%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 20:55
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.78%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.88%EV -8.60%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.79%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:25
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.78%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.88%EV -8.60%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.79%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:25
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 20:15
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.54%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 18:55
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.54%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 20:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.54%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.23%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 20:50
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -11.54%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.23%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 19:25
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.84%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 20:35
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -14.19%E -4.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 20:45
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.23%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.23%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 20:35
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.23%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.65%E -4.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.23%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 20:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-04-19 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-04-19 20:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-04-19 20:45
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-04-19 20:55
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.46%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.45%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%2.3%2026-04-19 20:55