La scuola delle quote

Goiás v Criciuma

Inizio: 2026-04-07 00:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Goiás (Casa)

Previsione 44.28%2.26quota equa
EV -4.37%
Vantaggio -2.02%
Kelly -3.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.90%44.43%44.30%47.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.052.052.1652.63%48.76%48.78%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Criciuma (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.97%4.00quota equa
EV -0.120%
Vantaggio -0.030%
Kelly -0.040%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.53%24.89%24.90%26.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.763.754.0029.41%26.63%26.67%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.75%3.25quota equa
EV -3.12%
Vantaggio -0.991%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.77%30.68%30.80%31.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.013.003.1535.71%33.21%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.50%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.40%EV -1.62%E -0.411%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.11%EV -4.97%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 23:45
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.43%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -2.62%E -0.671%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 23:24
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.43%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -2.62%E -0.671%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 23:25
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -5.11%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 23:25
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.61%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 23:40
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -6.14%E -2.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 23:10
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -2.62%E -0.671%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 23:39
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.13%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.78%EV -6.61%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -8.35%E -2.80%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 23:55
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 22:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:40
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:45
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.61%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 23:10
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.91%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.88%EV -8.35%E -2.80%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 23:25
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.91%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.88%EV -8.35%E -2.80%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 23:30
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.91%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.27%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 23:29
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.57%EV -7.91%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.25%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 23:40
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.62%E -0.671%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 23:40
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.62%E -0.671%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 23:40
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 23:29
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.61%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 23:39
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.37%E -0.347%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 23:20
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.37%E -0.347%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 23:20
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.37%E -0.347%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 23:20
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.37%E -0.347%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 23:19
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.37%E -0.347%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 23:20
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.37%E -0.347%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 23:20
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.37%E -0.347%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 23:20
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -10.56%E -5.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -2.62%E -0.671%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 23:19
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -11.45%E -5.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -3.87%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:14
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -11.45%E -5.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.11%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.45%E -5.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.61%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-06 23:30
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.45%E -5.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.61%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-06 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.45%E -5.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.61%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-06 23:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.45%E -5.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.61%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-06 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -11.45%E -5.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -15.10%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -13.89%E -4.96%K -7.71%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-06 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.35%EV -12.78%E -6.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -3.87%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 23:20
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.33%EV -13.22%E -6.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.11%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 23:20
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -13.66%E -7.01%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -13.66%E -7.01%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 23:20
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 46.21%EV -14.11%E -7.27%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -15.88%E -8.36%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -0.120%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 23:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.5%2026-04-06 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.5%2026-04-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.5%2026-04-06 23:35
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.5%2026-04-06 23:35
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.66%1.9%2026-04-06 23:35