L’École des cotes

Goiás v Criciuma

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Goiás (Local)

Prévision 44.28%2.26cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -3.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.90%44.43%44.30%47.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.052.052.1652.63%48.76%48.78%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Criciuma (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.97%4.00cote équitable
EV -0.120%
Avantage -0.030%
Kelly -0.040%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.53%24.89%24.90%26.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.763.754.0029.41%26.63%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.75%3.25cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -0.991%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.77%30.68%30.80%31.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.013.003.1535.71%33.21%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.50%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.40%EV -1.62%E -0.411%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.11%EV -4.97%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 23:45
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.43%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -2.62%E -0.671%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 23:24
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.43%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -2.62%E -0.671%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 23:25
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -5.11%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 23:25
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.61%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 23:40
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -6.14%E -2.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 23:10
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -2.62%E -0.671%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 23:39
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.13%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.78%EV -6.61%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -8.35%E -2.80%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 23:55
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 22:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:40
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:45
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.61%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 23:10
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.91%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.88%EV -8.35%E -2.80%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 23:25
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.91%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.88%EV -8.35%E -2.80%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 23:30
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -7.91%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.27%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 23:29
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.57%EV -7.91%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.25%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 23:40
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.62%E -0.671%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 23:40
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.62%E -0.671%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 23:40
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 23:29
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.24%E -4.51%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.61%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 23:39
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.37%E -0.347%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 23:20
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.37%E -0.347%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 23:20
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.37%E -0.347%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 23:20
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.37%E -0.347%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 23:19
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.37%E -0.347%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 23:20
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.37%E -0.347%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 23:20
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -9.68%E -4.74%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -1.37%E -0.347%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.991%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 23:20
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -10.56%E -5.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -2.62%E -0.671%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 23:19
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -11.45%E -5.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -3.87%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:14
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -11.45%E -5.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.11%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.45%E -5.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.61%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-06 23:30
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.45%E -5.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.61%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-06 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.45%E -5.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.61%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-06 23:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.45%E -5.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.61%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-06 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -11.45%E -5.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -15.10%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -13.89%E -4.96%K -7.71%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-06 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.35%EV -12.78%E -6.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -3.87%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 23:20
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.33%EV -13.22%E -6.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.11%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 23:20
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -13.66%E -7.01%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -13.66%E -7.01%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 23:20
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 46.21%EV -14.11%E -7.27%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -15.88%E -8.36%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -0.120%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 23:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.5%2026-04-06 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.5%2026-04-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.5%2026-04-06 23:35
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.5%2026-04-06 23:35
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.66%1.9%2026-04-06 23:35