The School of Odds
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Goiás v Atletico Goianiense

2026-09-26 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Goiás (Local)

Prediction 38.76%2.58fair odd
EV -6.97%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -4.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.66%38.76%38.76%38.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.362.402.4043.86%42.36%41.67%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atletico Goianiense (Visit)

Prediction 30.88%3.24fair odd
EV -5.83%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.57%30.88%30.88%30.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.882.983.053.0534.72%33.54%32.79%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.36%3.29fair odd
EV -7.39%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.24%30.36%30.36%30.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.003.053.0534.48%33.29%32.79%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Goiás (Local): 38.76%; Atletico Goianiense (Visit): 30.88%; Draw: 30.36%. For Atletico Goianiense (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -5.83%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.97%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 07:51
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.97%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.97%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 07:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.97%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 07:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.97%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 07:50
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.97%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 07:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.97%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 07:50
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.91%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 07:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.66%EV -10.08%E -4.34%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 08:20
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.66%EV -10.08%E -4.34%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.66%EV -10.08%E -4.34%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.85%E -4.72%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -11.07%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-16 08:20
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.79%EV -11.63%E -5.10%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.71%EV -11.07%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-16 08:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.