Language:English
Goiás v Athletic Club (MG)
Head to Head
Goiás (Local)
Prediction 49.77%2.01fair odd
EV -7.44%
Edge -4.00%
Kelly -8.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.61%49.77%49.77%50.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.831.851.8655.87%54.69%54.05%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Athletic Club (MG) (Visit)
Prediction 22.21%4.50fair odd
EV -5.60%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.90%22.21%22.21%22.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.144.254.2525.00%24.14%23.53%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.02%3.57fair odd
EV -6.13%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.79%28.02%28.02%28.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.283.353.3531.75%30.52%29.85%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Goiás (Local): 49.77%; Athletic Club (MG) (Visit): 22.21%; Draw: 28.02%. For Athletic Club (MG) (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.50. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.25, with an expected value of -5.60%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.18%EV -7.44%E -4.00%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.13%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.93%E -4.29%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.13%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.93%E -4.29%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.13%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.93%E -4.29%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.13%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.93%E -4.29%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.13%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.93%E -4.29%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.13%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.93%E -4.29%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.13%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -8.93%E -4.88%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.42%E -5.79%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.42%E -5.79%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.42%E -5.79%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.61%EV -10.92%E -6.10%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.61%EV -10.92%E -6.10%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.