Language:English
Fortaleza v Nautico PE
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fortaleza (Local)
Prediction 61.32%1.63fair odd
EV +0.565%
Edge +0.345%
Kelly +0.883%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.27%61.05%61.27%62.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.521.6469.44%65.11%65.79%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nautico PE (Visit)
Prediction 15.35%6.51fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.294%
Kelly -0.349%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.57%15.50%15.35%18.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.665.956.3920.83%17.66%16.81%15.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.32%4.29fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -0.771%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.73%23.45%23.38%25.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.843.804.1528.57%26.06%26.32%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortaleza (Local): 61.32%; Nautico PE (Visit): 15.35%; Draw: 23.32%. For Fortaleza (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.565%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV +0.565%E +0.345%K +0.883%G +0.005% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -20.15%E -3.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV +0.565%E +0.345%K +0.883%G +0.005% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -20.15%E -3.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV +0.565%E +0.345%K +0.883%G +0.005% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -20.15%E -3.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 23:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV +0.565%E +0.345%K +0.883%G +0.005% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -20.15%E -3.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV +0.565%E +0.345%K +0.883%G +0.005% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -20.15%E -3.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV +0.565%E +0.345%K +0.883%G +0.005% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -20.15%E -3.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV +0.565%E +0.345%K +0.883%G +0.005% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -20.15%E -3.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -0.661%E -0.408%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -23.23%E -4.65%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -16.03%E -4.45%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-02 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -24.76%E -5.05%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -17.20%E -4.84%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -24.76%E -5.05%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -17.20%E -4.84%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-02 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -24.76%E -5.05%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -17.20%E -4.84%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-02 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.52%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -26.30%E -5.48%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -17.20%E -4.84%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-02 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.47%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -26.30%E -5.48%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -18.36%E -5.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-02 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.88%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 15.01%EV -1.88%E -0.294%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -3.20%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -5.57%E -3.61%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.37%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.67%EV -5.57%E -3.61%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.19%EV -5.57%E -0.905%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.14%EV -9.73%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 00:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.70%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.70%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.70%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 00:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.70%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.70%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 00:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.70%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 00:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.79%E -4.47%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -4.03%E -0.645%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.70%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 00:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -6.79%E -4.47%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.37%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 00:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -7.41%E -4.91%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -10.94%E -1.89%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.03%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 23:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.70%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 00:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.70%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.03%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.83%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -9.41%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -10.20%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-02 23:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-03 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-03 00:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-03 00:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-03 00:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-03 00:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -15.55%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.03%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -15.55%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.03%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-02 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.21%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -11.71%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 00:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -11.71%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.70%E -3.70%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 00:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -15.55%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-02 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -19.39%E -3.69%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -19.39%E -3.69%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -19.39%E -3.69%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -19.39%E -3.69%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.37%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.79%EV -8.63%E -5.79%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.47%EV -8.64%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -5.53%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.25%E -6.25%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -6.70%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -9.25%E -6.25%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -6.33%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -7.87%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 00:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -11.09%E -7.65%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.57%EV -4.80%E -0.774%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -9.03%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-02 21:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -11.70%E -8.12%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-03 00:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.21% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 00:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-10-03 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.60% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 00:30 |