Language:English
Fortaleza v Clube de Regatas Brasil
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fortaleza (Local)
Prediction 44.67%2.24fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.62%44.89%44.66%48.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.842.022.052.1554.35%49.52%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit)
Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd
EV +1.97%
Edge +0.532%
Kelly +0.729%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.07%27.44%27.51%28.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.403.353.7031.25%29.44%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.78%3.60fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.59%27.67%27.84%29.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.313.303.4531.25%30.21%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortaleza (Local): 44.67%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit): 27.56%; Draw: 27.78%. For Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV +1.97%E +0.532%K +0.729%G +0.014% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-12 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -13.79%E -7.15%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.97%E +0.532%K +0.729%G +0.014% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-12 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -13.79%E -7.15%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.97%E +0.532%K +0.729%G +0.014% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-12 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -13.79%E -7.15%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.97%E +0.532%K +0.729%G +0.014% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-12 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -13.79%E -7.15%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.97%E +0.532%K +0.729%G +0.014% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-12 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -13.79%E -7.15%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.97%E +0.532%K +0.729%G +0.014% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-12 18:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.05%EV -13.79%E -7.15%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.97%E +0.532%K +0.729%G +0.014% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-12 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -14.69%E -7.69%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -0.789%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-12 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.13%EV -4.86%E -2.28%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.93%EV -1.62%E -0.453%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.94%EV -4.45%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-12 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -16.03%E -8.53%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -2.17%E -0.610%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-12 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -16.03%E -8.53%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -2.17%E -0.610%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-12 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-12 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -15.13%E -7.97%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-12 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -16.47%E -8.81%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-12 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -17.37%E -9.39%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-12 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.92%EV -4.86%E -2.28%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.03%EV -4.65%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.05%EV -10.56%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-12 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-12 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.63%EV -17.81%E -9.68%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-12 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-12 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-12 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-12 18:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-12 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.23%EV -6.85%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-12 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 18:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-12 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -7.54%E -3.64%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-12 18:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -7.54%E -3.64%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-12 18:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-12 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-12 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-12 18:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.54%E -3.64%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-12 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-12 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-12 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-12 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-12 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-12 18:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-12 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-12 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-12 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -12.90%E -6.62%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-12 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-12 18:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-12 18:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-12 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-12 18:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.44%E -4.11%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-12 18:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-12 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-12 18:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-12 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-12 18:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 0.2% | 2026-10-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-10-12 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-10-12 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-10-12 18:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.7% | 2026-10-12 18:55 |