Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cuiabá v Avai

2026-10-11 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cuiabá (Local)

Prediction 50.86%1.97fair odd
EV -7.44%
Edge -4.09%
Kelly -9.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.60%50.86%50.86%51.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.801.821.8257.14%55.67%54.95%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Avai (Visit)

Prediction 20.69%4.83fair odd
EV -4.82%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.32%20.69%20.69%20.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.474.604.6023.53%22.39%21.74%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.45%3.51fair odd
EV -6.12%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.32%28.45%28.45%28.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.303.3032.26%30.95%30.30%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cuiabá (Local): 50.86%; Avai (Visit): 20.69%; Draw: 28.45%. For Avai (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.60, with an expected value of -4.82%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.44%E -4.09%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 22:20
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.44%E -4.09%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.44%E -4.09%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.44%E -4.09%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.44%E -4.09%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 22:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.44%E -4.09%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 22:20
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.44%E -4.09%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -8.96%E -5.01%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.96%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 22:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.67%EV -9.98%E -5.64%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.86%EV -11.03%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -10.38%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-04 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.67%EV -9.98%E -5.64%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.86%EV -11.03%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -10.38%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-04 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.67%EV -9.98%E -5.64%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.86%EV -11.03%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -10.38%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-04 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.81%EV -10.49%E -5.96%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.80%EV -11.03%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -10.38%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-04 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.60%EV -11.00%E -6.28%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -12.06%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-04 22:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.