Language:English
Cuiabá v Avai
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cuiabá (Local)
Prediction 57.80%1.73fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%57.73%57.78%59.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.611.6865.36%62.22%62.11%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avai (Visit)
Prediction 16.40%6.10fair odd
EV +6.63%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.080%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.34%16.42%16.40%18.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.505.506.5021.05%18.19%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.448%
Kelly -0.607%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.14%25.86%25.82%26.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.8130.30%28.50%28.57%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cuiabá (Local): 57.80%; Avai (Visit): 16.40%; Draw: 25.80%. For Avai (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.10. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.76%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV +6.63%E +1.02%K +1.21%G +0.080% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.76%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV +6.63%E +1.02%K +1.21%G +0.080% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 20:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.68%E -5.49%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 14.86%EV +3.02%E +0.481%K +0.572%G +0.017% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -7.64%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 21:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.49%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.37%EV +2.20%E +0.353%K +0.421%G +0.009% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.14%EV -1.71%E -0.448%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.42%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.57%E -0.262%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.62%EV -3.51%E -0.939%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 21:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -11.57%E -7.56%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -1.57%E -0.262%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 20:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -11.57%E -7.56%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -1.57%E -0.262%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 21:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -4.85%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -4.85%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -5.67%E -0.987%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 20:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.67%E -0.987%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 20:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -5.67%E -0.987%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.20%EV -8.10%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -5.67%E -0.987%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 20:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -10.42%E -6.72%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -5.67%E -0.987%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 21:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -10.42%E -6.72%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -5.67%E -0.987%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 21:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -8.13%E -1.45%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -8.13%E -1.45%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.87%EV -8.10%E -5.10%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -8.13%E -1.45%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.70%EV -7.64%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 20:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.52%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -9.77%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 20:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.53%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.77%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.77%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.53%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.77%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.53%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.77%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 17:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.77%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 21:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.26%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.77%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -9.77%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 21:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -9.77%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 21:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -9.77%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -8.68%E -5.49%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -9.77%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-11 21:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.26%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -9.77%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.26%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.88%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 21:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.26%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.88%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 21:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.26%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.88%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.26%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.88%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 21:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -14.70%E -2.83%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -14.70%E -2.83%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -14.70%E -2.83%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -14.70%E -2.83%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -14.70%E -2.83%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -14.70%E -2.83%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -14.70%E -2.83%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.26%E -5.90%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -17.98%E -3.60%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-11 19:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -4.06%E -2.44%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -19.62%E -4.00%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -5.79%E -3.55%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -19.62%E -4.00%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -13.57%E -4.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-11 20:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -5.79%E -3.55%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -19.62%E -4.00%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -13.57%E -4.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-11 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.76%EV -5.79%E -3.55%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -21.26%E -4.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -13.57%E -4.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 21:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -21.26%E -4.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-11 21:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.89%EV -7.53%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.49%EV -22.08%E -4.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-11 21:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.43% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 1.4% | 2026-10-11 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.43% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 1.4% | 2026-10-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.43% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 1.4% | 2026-10-11 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.43% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 1.4% | 2026-10-11 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.10% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.66% | 2.5% | 2026-10-11 21:15 |