默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Criciuma v Operario PR

2026-09-22 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Criciuma (主队)

预测 49.65%2.01公平赔率
EV -5.66%
优势 -2.98%
Kelly -6.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.90

博彩公司预测分布
48.10%49.64%49.67%51.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.861.871.9057.14%53.80%53.48%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

Operario PR (客队)

预测 21.73%4.60公平赔率
EV -2.87%
优势 -0.642%
Kelly -0.826%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.47

博彩公司预测分布
20.83%21.73%21.78%22.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.214.204.4725.00%23.77%23.81%22.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.62%3.49公平赔率
EV -4.99%
优势 -1.50%
Kelly -2.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.32

博彩公司预测分布
27.99%28.63%28.54%29.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.183.203.3233.33%31.47%31.25%30.12%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Criciuma (主队):49.65%;Operario PR (客队):21.73%;平局:28.62%。 对于“Operario PR (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.60。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为4.47,期望值为-2.87%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -5.66%E -2.98%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 23:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -5.66%E -2.98%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 23:44
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -6.16%E -3.26%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-22 00:24
BetMGM🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.29%EV -6.16%E -3.26%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -11.28%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-21 23:23
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.33%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.17%EV -2.87%E -0.642%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.50%EV -4.99%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-22 00:34
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.90%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-22 01:24
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-21 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-21 23:34
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -7.15%E -3.82%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 01:14
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%EV -7.15%E -3.82%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 00:23
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.15%E -3.82%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -8.99%E -2.83%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-22 00:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -7.15%E -3.82%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-22 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.78%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.96%EV -8.99%E -2.83%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 00:59
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.28%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-22 00:24
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.28%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-22 01:35
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.14%E -4.71%K -7.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-21 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.14%E -4.71%K -7.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-21 22:24
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.14%E -4.71%K -7.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-21 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.14%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.14%E -4.71%K -7.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-21 22:24
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.64%E -4.70%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 00:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.19%EV -8.64%E -4.70%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.85%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-21 23:34
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -9.14%E -4.99%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-21 22:49
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.63%E -5.90%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.28%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-21 22:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.18%EV -13.11%E -7.49%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-21 23:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-09-22 01:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-09-22 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-09-22 01:35
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%1.3%2026-09-22 00:14
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.38%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.8%2026-09-22 01:55