Language:English
Criciuma v Avai
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Criciuma (Local)
Prediction 58.73%1.70fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -5.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.44%58.81%58.74%61.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.581.581.6468.03%63.24%63.29%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avai (Visit)
Prediction 15.23%6.57fair odd
EV +6.90%
Edge +0.983%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.079%
assuming max odds 7.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.65%15.22%15.29%17.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.895.907.0219.05%16.97%16.95%14.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.05%3.84fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.409%
Kelly -0.556%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.47%25.97%25.98%27.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.503.7830.30%28.54%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Criciuma (Local): 58.73%; Avai (Visit): 15.23%; Draw: 26.05%. For Avai (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.57. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.01%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 7.02I 14.25%NM 13.65%EV +6.90%E +0.983%K +1.15%G +0.079% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.34%EV -1.55%E -0.409%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -6.63%E -4.17%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV +2.79%E +0.413%K +0.485%G +0.014% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.15%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -6.63%E -4.17%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV +2.79%E +0.413%K +0.485%G +0.014% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.15%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.97%EV -6.63%E -4.17%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV +2.79%E +0.413%K +0.485%G +0.014% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.15%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 13:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -8.39%E -5.38%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.02%E -0.157%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -8.39%E -5.38%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.02%E -0.157%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.32%EV -8.39%E -5.38%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -1.02%E -0.157%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.60%EV -13.67%E -9.30%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -1.02%E -0.157%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-27 13:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -7.21%E -4.56%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -4.83%E -0.772%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-27 13:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.58%EV -8.97%E -5.79%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -4.83%E -0.772%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.99%EV -8.39%E -5.38%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -4.83%E -0.772%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.61%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.03%EV -5.44%E -0.875%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.37%EV -11.18%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-27 13:57 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.62%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -7.11%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -6.04%E -3.77%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -8.63%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.04%E -3.77%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.63%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.80%EV -6.63%E -4.17%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.63%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.21%E -4.56%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.63%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-27 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -6.04%E -3.77%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -8.63%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.79%EV -4.86%E -3.00%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -8.63%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -14.05%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -10.15%E -6.63%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -8.63%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-27 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -10.15%E -6.63%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -8.63%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-27 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -11.91%E -7.94%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.63%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -11.91%E -7.94%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.63%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.17%EV -7.21%E -4.56%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV -10.16%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.17%EV -7.21%E -4.56%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV -10.16%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.22%EV -7.21%E -4.56%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -11.68%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -3.69%E -2.25%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -12.44%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -3.69%E -2.25%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -12.44%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -3.69%E -2.25%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -12.44%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -3.69%E -2.25%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -12.44%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -3.69%E -2.25%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -12.44%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -3.69%E -2.25%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -12.44%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -3.69%E -2.25%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -12.44%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -5.45%E -3.39%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.44%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -5.45%E -3.39%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.44%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -16.25%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-27 14:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -7.21%E -4.56%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -16.25%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-27 13:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.25%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.25%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -8.97%E -5.79%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -16.25%E -2.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-27 13:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.44%EV -5.45%E -3.39%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -17.77%E -3.29%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.50%EV -7.21%E -4.56%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -19.29%E -3.64%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -12.75%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.50%EV -7.21%E -4.56%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -19.29%E -3.64%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -12.75%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.66%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.78%EV -19.29%E -3.64%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -12.75%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.66%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.78%EV -19.29%E -3.64%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -12.75%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.05%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.05%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-27 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.80%E -4.97%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.05%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-27 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.50%EV -8.39%E -5.38%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.79%EV -20.05%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -14.05%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.01% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-27 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.01% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-27 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.07% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.04% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89% | 1.7% | 2026-09-27 14:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.36% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.70% | 2.5% | 2026-09-27 14:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.14% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 14:01 |