Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Sport Recife

2026-09-16 00:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prediction 51.33%1.95fair odd
EV -7.61%
Edge -4.23%
Kelly -9.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.33%51.33%51.33%51.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.801.8058.82%56.62%55.56%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sport Recife (Visit)

Prediction 22.71%4.40fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%22.71%22.71%22.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.084.204.2025.64%24.48%23.81%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.96%3.85fair odd
EV -6.55%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%25.96%25.96%26.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.513.603.6029.85%28.48%27.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 51.33%; Sport Recife (Visit): 22.71%; Draw: 25.96%. For Sport Recife (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.40. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -4.60%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 00:34
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 00:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 00:34
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 00:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 00:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 00:34
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -9.15%E -5.17%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.15%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 00:34
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -10.69%E -6.14%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.37%EV -11.20%E -6.47%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.50%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 00:34
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.51%EV -11.71%E -6.81%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.43%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 00:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.46%EV -12.74%E -7.49%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -13.04%E -3.89%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.46%EV -12.74%E -7.49%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -13.04%E -3.89%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 00:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.