Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.94
assuming max odds 4.10
assuming max odds 3.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 49.13%; Sport Recife (Visit): 24.61%; Draw: 26.26%. For Sport Recife (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.895%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV +0.895%E +0.218%K +0.289%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV +0.895%E +0.218%K +0.289%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV +0.895%E +0.218%K +0.289%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.70%EV -0.335%E -0.083%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.81%EV -5.98%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-15 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.40%EV -1.81%E -0.454%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.45%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 23:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 23:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -8.62%E -4.63%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.45%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 23:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -9.11%E -4.93%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.45%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -9.11%E -4.93%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.45%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -9.11%E -4.93%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.45%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -9.11%E -4.93%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.45%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -9.11%E -4.93%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.45%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -9.11%E -4.93%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.45%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -13.04%E -7.37%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 23:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 23:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.96%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 23.97%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -10.09%E -5.52%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.83%E -0.764%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.45%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.09%E -5.52%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -9.11%E -4.93%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -9.11%E -4.93%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.45%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.80%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.80%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.80%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -10.18%E -2.79%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -10.18%E -2.79%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -10.18%E -2.79%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.58%EV -12.06%E -6.74%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.32%EV -10.18%E -2.79%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.72%EV -12.55%E -7.05%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -10.18%E -2.79%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 23:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.09%E -5.52%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 23:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.09%E -5.52%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-15 23:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.87%E -3.96%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.87%E -3.96%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.87%E -3.96%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.87%E -3.96%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.87%E -3.96%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.87%E -3.96%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.11%E -4.93%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -16.33%E -4.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.11%E -4.93%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -16.33%E -4.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.11%E -4.93%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -16.33%E -4.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.11%E -4.93%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -16.33%E -4.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58% | 1.7% | 2026-09-15 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58% | 1.7% | 2026-09-15 23:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58% | 1.7% | 2026-09-15 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |