The School of Odds
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Clube de Regatas Brasil v Londrina

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 21:30 UTC

Final: Clube de Regatas Brasil 2–1 Londrina

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prediction 69.50%1.44fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -6.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.95%69.68%69.54%72.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.331.331.4081.97%75.22%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Londrina (Visit)

Prediction 11.93%8.38fair odd
EV +13.31%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.208%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.83%11.84%11.85%13.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.617.509.5015.38%13.14%13.33%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.57%5.38fair odd
EV +0.837%
Edge +0.154%
Kelly +0.189%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.02%18.48%18.61%20.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.854.805.4322.22%20.62%20.83%18.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 69.50%; Londrina (Visit): 11.93%; Draw: 18.57%. For Londrina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.38. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -9.65%E -7.42%K -32.16%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +13.31%E +1.40%K +1.57%G +0.208%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -9.65%E -7.42%K -32.16%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +13.31%E +1.40%K +1.57%G +0.208%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 19:59
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.35%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.80%G +0.000%9.49I 10.54%NM 10.06%EV +13.19%E +1.39%K +1.55%G +0.205%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.59%EV +0.837%E +0.154%K +0.189%G +0.002%4.7%2026-10-24 21:20
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.35%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.80%G +0.000%9.49I 10.54%NM 10.06%EV +13.19%E +1.39%K +1.55%G +0.205%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.59%EV +0.837%E +0.154%K +0.189%G +0.002%4.7%2026-10-24 21:15
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.78%EV -6.87%E -5.12%K -20.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV +1.38%E +0.163%K +0.184%G +0.003%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -2.51%E -0.477%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:15
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -9.65%E -7.42%K -32.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +1.38%E +0.163%K +0.184%G +0.003%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.51%E -0.477%K -0.589%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-23 21:35
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -9.65%E -7.42%K -32.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +1.38%E +0.163%K +0.184%G +0.003%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 21:13
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -13.12%E -10.50%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV +1.38%E +0.163%K +0.184%G +0.003%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-24 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -13.12%E -10.50%K -52.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV +1.38%E +0.163%K +0.184%G +0.003%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-24 21:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.56%EV -15.21%E -12.46%K -69.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV +1.38%E +0.163%K +0.184%G +0.003%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.02%EV -3.43%E -0.660%K -0.818%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-24 20:41
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.31%EV -8.95%E -6.83%K -28.88%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.39%EV -2.20%E -0.268%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +0.280%E +0.052%K +0.064%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.31%EV -8.95%E -6.83%K -28.88%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.39%EV -2.20%E -0.268%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +0.280%E +0.052%K +0.064%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 21:25
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -6.87%E -5.12%K -20.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -4.58%E -0.573%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 19:47
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.27%EV -8.95%E -6.83%K -28.88%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -4.58%E -0.573%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.23%EV -6.22%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -8.95%E -6.83%K -28.88%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -4.58%E -0.573%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-23 19:50
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.95%EV -2.70%E -1.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.27%EV -8.88%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.78%EV -16.25%E -3.60%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 21:25
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.09%E -2.96%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -10.55%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 20:50
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.09%E -2.96%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -10.55%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 20:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.09%E -2.96%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -10.55%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 20:45
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.09%E -2.96%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -10.55%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 20:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.09%E -2.96%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -10.55%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 20:45
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.09%E -2.96%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -10.55%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 20:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.09%E -2.96%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -10.55%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.09%E -2.96%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -10.55%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -7.56%E -5.69%K -22.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -10.55%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-23 19:49
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.65%E -7.42%K -32.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -10.55%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 21:25
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.65%E -7.42%K -32.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -10.55%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 21:24
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -9.65%E -7.42%K -32.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -10.55%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -16.43%E -3.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-23 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -13.53%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 09:44
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -6.87%E -5.12%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.70%EV -14.12%E -1.96%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 20:35
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -6.87%E -5.12%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.70%EV -14.12%E -1.96%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 20:35
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -16.51%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -16.51%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 20:41
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.84%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -16.51%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 21:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -6.87%E -5.12%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -16.51%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 20:40
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.56%E -5.69%K -22.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -16.51%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.56%E -5.69%K -22.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -16.51%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.56%E -5.69%K -22.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -16.51%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 21:25
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -7.56%E -5.69%K -22.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -16.51%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 21:15
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -7.56%E -5.69%K -22.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -16.51%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -7.56%E -5.69%K -22.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -16.51%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -7.56%E -5.69%K -22.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -16.51%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 09:44
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -7.56%E -5.69%K -22.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -16.51%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 09:45
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -6.87%E -5.12%K -20.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -19.49%E -2.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 20:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -6.87%E -5.12%K -20.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -19.49%E -2.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -7.56%E -5.69%K -22.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.20%EV -19.49%E -2.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -16.43%E -3.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 20:45
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.16%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.13%EV -19.49%E -2.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -16.43%E -3.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-24 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.50%EV -9.65%E -7.42%K -32.16%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -19.49%E -2.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -16.43%E -3.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-24 20:45
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.16%EV -9.65%E -7.42%K -32.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -22.47%E -3.46%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -16.43%E -3.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-24 04:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-10-24 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-10-24 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-10-24 21:25
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-10-24 21:25
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.36%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09%0.9%2026-10-24 21:25

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