Language:English
Clube de Regatas Brasil v Grêmio Novorizontino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)
Prediction 41.80%2.39fair odd
EV -0.523%
Edge -0.220%
Kelly -0.379%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.92%41.70%41.88%44.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.202.3848.78%44.87%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visit)
Prediction 29.32%3.41fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -0.797%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.46%29.44%29.19%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.073.103.3236.36%32.56%32.26%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.88%3.46fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.32%28.86%28.93%29.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.183.3433.33%31.69%31.45%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 41.80%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Visit): 29.32%; Draw: 28.88%. For Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -0.523%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -0.523%E -0.220%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 21:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -0.523%E -0.220%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -0.523%E -0.220%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -0.523%E -0.220%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -0.523%E -0.220%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 21:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -0.523%E -0.220%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -0.523%E -0.220%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -13.50%E -4.58%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 21:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -2.61%E -1.12%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -16.43%E -5.76%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.21%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.98%EV -2.65%E -0.797%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.81%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.03%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -17.90%E -6.39%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.92%E -3.91%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 21:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.03%EV -4.70%E -2.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -17.90%E -6.39%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.92%E -3.91%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 21:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -3.23%E -0.980%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 21:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 21:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -17.90%E -6.39%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -11.92%E -3.91%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.85%EV -6.37%E -2.85%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.85%EV -6.37%E -2.85%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.85%EV -6.37%E -2.85%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -6.79%E -3.05%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -19.36%E -7.04%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -6.79%E -3.05%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -19.36%E -7.04%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-16 21:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -7.63%E -3.45%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -8.16%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.23%E -0.980%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 21:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 21:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 21:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.63%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 21:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.63%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 21:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.63%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 21:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 21:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 21:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 21:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 21:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.02%EV -8.46%E -3.87%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -10.14%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -10.14%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -9.89%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 21:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -10.14%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -9.89%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 21:12 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.14%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 21:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.14%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.14%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.14%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.14%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.14%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 21:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.14%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.96%E -5.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-16 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -14.32%E -6.98%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -3.23%E -0.980%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 21:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |