Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.03
assuming max odds 4.12
assuming max odds 3.44
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 47.40%; Cuiabá (Visit): 24.42%; Draw: 28.18%. For Cuiabá (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.622%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.06%EV -8.05%E -4.15%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.10%EV +0.622%E +0.151%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.83%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.06%EV -8.05%E -4.15%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.10%EV +0.622%E +0.151%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.83%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV +0.134%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV +0.134%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.52%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.55%EV -0.355%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.93%EV -3.06%E -0.888%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.05%E -4.15%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.05%E -4.15%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.05%E -4.15%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.05%E -4.15%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.05%E -4.15%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 18:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.05%E -4.15%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -11.37%E -6.08%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -11.37%E -6.08%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.21%E -2.60%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.95%EV -9.00%E -4.69%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 23.98%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.07%EV -7.56%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.21%E -2.60%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -11.23%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -11.23%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -9.00%E -4.69%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -11.37%E -6.08%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.16%E -3.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-27 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.21%E -2.60%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.21%E -2.60%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.21%E -2.60%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.83%EV -7.10%E -3.62%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.19%EV -9.00%E -4.69%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -11.37%E -6.08%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-27 18:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-27 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -10.90%E -5.80%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.23%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -10.90%E -5.80%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.23%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -10.90%E -5.80%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.23%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.64%EV -11.37%E -6.08%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -11.23%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -12.32%E -6.66%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -8.53%E -4.42%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-27 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-27 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -11.37%E -6.08%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-27 18:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.06%EV -3.79%E -1.87%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.12%EV -12.57%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.83%EV -5.31%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-27 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-27 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-27 18:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07% | 2.7% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60% | 2.8% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.47% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91% | 3.3% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |