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Clube de Regatas Brasil v Botafogo-SP
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)
Prediction 63.51%1.57fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -5.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.17%63.41%63.66%65.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.461.461.5374.07%68.52%68.49%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Botafogo-SP (Visit)
Prediction 14.50%6.90fair odd
EV +5.43%
Edge +0.747%
Kelly +0.867%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 7.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.15%14.54%14.40%16.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.176.107.2718.52%16.21%16.39%13.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.99%4.55fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.333%
Kelly -0.429%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.63%22.05%21.93%23.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.084.004.4826.67%24.48%25.00%22.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 63.51%; Botafogo-SP (Visit): 14.50%; Draw: 21.99%. For Botafogo-SP (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.90. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.50%EV -7.28%E -4.98%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 7.27I 13.76%NM 13.15%EV +5.43%E +0.747%K +0.867%G +0.047% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.35%EV -1.49%E -0.333%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-18 18:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -7.91%E -5.46%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 7.01I 14.27%NM 13.33%EV +1.66%E +0.237%K +0.277%G +0.005% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +1.52%E +0.217%K +0.253%G +0.004% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 18:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -7.91%E -5.46%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -2.11%E -0.312%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -9.18%E -6.42%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -2.11%E -0.312%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.07%EV -7.28%E -4.98%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -4.28%E -0.649%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.07%EV -7.28%E -4.98%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -4.28%E -0.649%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.07%EV -7.28%E -4.98%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -4.28%E -0.649%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.18%E -6.42%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.95%EV -4.28%E -0.649%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -6.55%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -5.73%E -0.882%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -7.91%E -5.46%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -5.73%E -0.882%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 18:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.73%E -0.882%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 18:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.73%E -0.882%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.73%E -0.882%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.73%E -0.882%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.73%E -0.882%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.73%E -0.882%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.23%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -5.73%E -0.882%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-18 18:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.23%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -5.73%E -0.882%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-18 18:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -5.73%E -0.882%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.72%EV -14.26%E -10.56%K -40.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -5.73%E -0.882%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.63%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-18 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -9.36%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-18 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.55%EV -9.82%E -6.91%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV -9.36%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-18 18:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.35%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -11.53%E -1.89%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.63%EV -10.95%E -2.70%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 18:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.35%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -11.53%E -1.89%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.63%EV -10.95%E -2.70%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.36%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -9.85%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.91%E -5.46%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-18 18:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -11.09%E -7.92%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-18 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -2.83%E -1.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -15.89%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -2.83%E -1.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -15.89%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -2.83%E -1.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -15.89%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -2.83%E -1.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -15.89%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -2.83%E -1.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -15.89%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -2.83%E -1.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -15.89%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -2.83%E -1.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -15.89%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 18:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.17%EV -4.10%E -2.72%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -18.79%E -3.35%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -15.34%E -3.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-18 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.32%EV -5.37%E -3.60%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.24%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -15.34%E -3.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.32%EV -5.37%E -3.60%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -20.24%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -15.34%E -3.99%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -20.24%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -16.44%E -4.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -6.64%E -4.52%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -21.69%E -4.02%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -16.44%E -4.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.25%EV -7.28%E -4.98%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -21.69%E -4.02%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -17.54%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-18 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.64% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23% | 0.2% | 2026-10-18 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.71% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97% | 1.5% | 2026-10-18 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.90% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 2.0% | 2026-10-18 19:00 |