Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Atletico Goianiense

Kickoff: 2026-10-07 23:30 UTC

Final: Clube de Regatas Brasil 3–1 Atletico Goianiense

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prediction 45.31%2.21fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.63%45.24%45.23%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.022.1251.28%49.16%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atletico Goianiense (Visit)

Prediction 27.13%3.69fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.493%
Kelly -0.681%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.02%27.13%27.23%28.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.303.6232.26%30.08%30.30%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.75%27.63%27.55%29.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.303.5033.33%30.21%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 45.31%; Atletico Goianiense (Visit): 27.13%; Draw: 27.56%. For Atletico Goianiense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.62, with an expected value of -1.79%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 03:31
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 03:30
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 03:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 03:31
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 03:30
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 03:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 03:30
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-05 14:49
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-05 01:00
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -14.54%E -4.61%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-01 03:31
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.14%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.13%EV -1.79%E -0.493%K -0.681%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.74%EV -6.01%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 09:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 23:30
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 06:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 06:30
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 00:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-05 01:00
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 14:50
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-01 03:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-01 03:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-01 03:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.75%EV -7.57%E -3.71%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-01 03:31
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-04 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-04 10:10
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-04 10:09
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-05 06:29
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-05 06:29
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-30 08:45
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.80%EV -8.93%E -4.44%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 09:27
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 10:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-05 00:59
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-05 01:00
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-05 11:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-05 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-05 11:34
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-05 11:34
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-05 06:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-05 06:35
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-05 11:04
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-05 11:03
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-05 06:34
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-05 06:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-05 06:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-05 06:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-05 14:05
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -10.29%E -5.20%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -4.50%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -5.19%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-05 10:45
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -10.29%E -5.20%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-03 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.95%EV -11.20%E -5.71%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.75%EV -5.19%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 03:30
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.65%E -5.98%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-04 09:36
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%7.5%2026-10-05 00:10
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 44.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.93%17.4%2026-10-05 11:00