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Clube de Regatas Brasil v Athletic Club (MG)
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)
Prediction 53.18%1.88fair odd
EV -5.33%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -6.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.65%53.37%52.94%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.711.7861.73%58.57%58.48%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Athletic Club (MG) (Visit)
Prediction 20.14%4.96fair odd
EV +7.16%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.66%
Growth +0.119%
assuming max odds 5.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.04%19.99%20.25%21.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.714.755.3223.81%21.22%21.05%18.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.67%3.75fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%26.64%26.81%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.503.6030.77%28.79%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 53.18%; Athletic Club (MG) (Visit): 20.14%; Draw: 26.67%. For Athletic Club (MG) (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.85%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.04%EV +7.16%E +1.35%K +1.66%G +0.119% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.11%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -10.65%E -6.34%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV +2.72%E +0.534%K +0.665%G +0.018% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -10.65%E -6.34%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV +2.72%E +0.534%K +0.665%G +0.018% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -10.65%E -6.34%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV +2.72%E +0.534%K +0.665%G +0.018% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -10.65%E -6.34%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV +2.72%E +0.534%K +0.665%G +0.018% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -10.65%E -6.34%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV +2.72%E +0.534%K +0.665%G +0.018% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 22:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.59%EV -10.12%E -5.99%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.27%EV +1.72%E +0.340%K +0.424%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 22:36 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -8.52%E -4.96%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +0.710%E +0.142%K +0.178%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV +0.710%E +0.142%K +0.178%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 22:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -12.25%E -7.42%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV +0.710%E +0.142%K +0.178%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -12.78%E -7.79%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV +0.710%E +0.142%K +0.178%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -12.78%E -7.79%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -1.30%E -0.266%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.76%EV -13.84%E -8.54%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -1.30%E -0.266%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -13.84%E -8.54%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -1.30%E -0.266%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -13.84%E -8.54%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -1.30%E -0.266%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -13.84%E -8.54%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -1.30%E -0.266%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.55%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -3.32%E -0.691%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -4.33%E -0.911%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -11.18%E -6.70%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -4.33%E -0.911%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 22:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -7.46%E -4.29%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -5.13%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.25%EV -4.77%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 22:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -8.35%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -8.35%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.74%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.46%E -4.29%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.33%E -3.00%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -11.37%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -11.37%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -12.78%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -7.46%E -4.29%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.78%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -5.86%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -14.40%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.59%E -5.64%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.59%E -5.64%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 22:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.59%E -5.64%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.59%E -5.64%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 22:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.62% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.62% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.62% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.31% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63% | 2.9% | 2026-04-12 22:50 |