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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Ceará v América Mineiro

2026-11-08 22:15 UTC — Brazil Série B

胜负盘

16 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ceará (主队)

预测 56.66%1.76公平赔率
EV -5.38%
优势 -3.22%
Kelly -8.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
55.51%56.93%56.75%58.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.621.631.6764.52%61.70%61.16%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

América Mineiro (客队)

预测 18.30%5.46公平赔率
EV +0.645%
优势 +0.117%
Kelly +0.143%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 5.50

博彩公司预测分布
16.51%17.99%18.29%19.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.105.005.5021.74%19.60%20.00%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.04%3.99公平赔率
EV -3.59%
优势 -0.932%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
24.29%25.09%24.96%26.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.643.653.8528.57%27.45%27.40%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Ceará (主队)：56.66%；América Mineiro (客队)：18.30%；平局：25.04%。 对于“América Mineiro (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.46。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为5.50，由此产生+0.645%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -10.48%E -6.63%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV +0.645%E +0.117%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-02 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -12.18%E -7.86%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV +0.645%E +0.117%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -8.60%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-02 23:30
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -12.18%E -7.86%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV +0.645%E +0.117%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -8.60%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-02 23:30
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -11.04%E -7.04%K -19.38%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -1.19%E -0.219%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-02 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.66%EV -5.38%E -3.22%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.30%EV -5.39%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.03%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-02 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.21%E -5.07%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -6.67%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 21:30
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.60%EV -7.08%E -4.32%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.31%EV -7.22%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-02 21:30
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -7.08%E -4.32%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -3.59%E -0.932%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 22:54
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -6.51%E -3.95%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.60%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-02 22:50
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.51%E -3.95%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-02 21:30
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.51%E -3.95%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-02 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.51%E -3.95%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-02 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.51%E -3.95%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-02 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -7.65%E -4.69%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -10.33%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-02 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -7.65%E -4.69%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -10.33%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-02 22:20
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.35%E -5.84%K -15.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-02 22:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 57.23%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%16.5%2026-11-02 23:30