Language:English
Avai v Londrina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Avai (Local)
Prediction 44.15%2.27fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -4.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.04%44.22%44.16%47.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.042.052.1453.19%49.00%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Londrina (Visit)
Prediction 26.78%3.73fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.459%
Kelly +0.623%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.45%26.61%26.91%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.8031.25%28.65%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.08%3.44fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.15%29.17%28.93%30.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.153.153.3033.33%31.76%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avai (Local): 44.15%; Londrina (Visit): 26.78%; Draw: 29.08%. For Londrina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -13.03%E -6.61%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV +1.75%E +0.459%K +0.623%G +0.011% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -13.47%E -6.87%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +1.75%E +0.459%K +0.623%G +0.011% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 09:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -13.47%E -6.87%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +1.75%E +0.459%K +0.623%G +0.011% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 09:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -13.47%E -6.87%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +1.75%E +0.459%K +0.623%G +0.011% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -13.47%E -6.87%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +1.75%E +0.459%K +0.623%G +0.011% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 09:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -13.47%E -6.87%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +1.75%E +0.459%K +0.623%G +0.011% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 09:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -13.47%E -6.87%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +1.75%E +0.459%K +0.623%G +0.011% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 09:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.21%EV -5.52%E -2.58%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.37%EV -0.129%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.42%EV -9.57%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.91%EV -14.79%E -7.67%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -2.27%E -0.622%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 09:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 08:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 07:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 07:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 07:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.91%EV -7.73%E -3.70%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 07:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -15.68%E -8.21%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-05 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -15.68%E -8.21%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-05 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -15.68%E -8.21%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-05 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.06%EV -16.56%E -8.76%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-05 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -17.00%E -9.04%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-05 09:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 07:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -5.75%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 10:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.36%EV -10.38%E -5.11%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 15:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 11:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 11:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 11:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.63%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 04:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.63%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 06:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.05%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 04:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 06:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 06:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 04:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.77%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-05 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -10.30%E -3.08%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 07:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 04:31 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-05 04:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-05 04:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-05 00:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.69%EV -9.05%E -4.40%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-05 06:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-05 06:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-05 06:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -7.29%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.98%E -3.99%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 04:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.70%E -5.85%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.98%E -3.99%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-05 06:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -14.32%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-05 00:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -14.32%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-05 00:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -14.32%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-05 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -14.32%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-05 00:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 29.19% | 16.5% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |